Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $428.35
- Potential payout
- $6.59K
- Potential profit
- $6.16K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$230.65
Polymarket Trader
0x124Be0478A0F7d996386d237832C5a2cfd8d8a69-1757804047548
0x124be0478a0f7d996386d237832c5a2cfd8d8a69
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $754.03
- Realized PnL
- $8.27K
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.39K
- Potential profit
- $5.39K
- User PnL
- -$787.26
Yes position
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.7%
- Current value
- $325.68
- Potential payout
- $3.37K
- Potential profit
- $3.05K
- Multiplier
- 10.36x
- User PnL
- -$82.83
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.25K
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15K
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $603.71
Yes position
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $560.04
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $248.04
Yes position
New US sanctions on Brazilian Supreme Court Justices by September 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $212.94
Yes position
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $185.1
Yes position
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.44
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.63
Yes position
US strike on Mexico by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.95
Yes position
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.83
Yes position
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- $4.03
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.01
Yes position
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.2
Yes position
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.87
Yes position
NATO x Russia military clash in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.67
Yes position
Obama federally charged in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.82
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 18?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.36
Yes position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.99
Yes position
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$9.46
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.46
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 4, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.1% 690 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 10% 6,590 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.7% 1,616.7 shares
- Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 11.7% 928.26 shares
- Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 1.6% 7,353.66 shares
- Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?Yes 1.2% 2,307.35 shares
- Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 1.9% 1,536.91 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.4% 26.55 shares
- Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?Yes 2.7% 85.38 shares
- Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes 2.9% 685.45 shares
- Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?Yes 1.3% 1,505.39 shares
- Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 3.8% 1,353.63 shares