Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $58.05
- Potential payout
- $6.83K
- Potential profit
- $6.77K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$8.31
Polymarket Trader
0x1257FccE55aa74AAE088727967e28e102878a9aC-1771183233439
0x1257fcce55aa74aae088727967e28e102878a9ac
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $126
- Realized PnL
- $758.02
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.11K
- Potential profit
- $2.11K
- User PnL
- -$29.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $1.03K
- User PnL
- -$20.07
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $67.95
- Potential payout
- $977.68
- Potential profit
- $909.73
- Multiplier
- 14.39x
- User PnL
- $27.95
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil settle at $80–$90 on April 8?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $939.84
- Potential profit
- $939.84
- User PnL
- -$50
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $666.62
- Potential profit
- $666.62
- User PnL
- -$10.15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $266.24
- Potential profit
- $266.24
- User PnL
- -$9.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $231.87
- Potential profit
- $231.87
- User PnL
- -$19.97
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $222.31
- Potential profit
- $222.31
- User PnL
- -$10.13
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $217.46
- Potential profit
- $217.46
- User PnL
- -$29.89
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $194.26
- Potential profit
- $194.26
- User PnL
- -$10.06
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $169.96
- Potential profit
- $169.96
- User PnL
- -$9.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $109.76
- Potential profit
- $109.76
- User PnL
- -$19.89
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.8
- Potential profit
- $99.8
- User PnL
- -$10.23
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $79.98
- Potential profit
- $79.98
- User PnL
- -$9.96
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.68
- Potential profit
- $76.68
- User PnL
- -$9.97
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.36
- Potential profit
- $71.36
- User PnL
- -$5.09
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.35
- Potential profit
- $71.35
- User PnL
- -$5.04
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.51
- Potential profit
- $62.51
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.22
- Potential profit
- $62.22
- User PnL
- -$9.95
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $46.91
- Potential profit
- $46.91
- User PnL
- -$19.7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $44.29
- Potential profit
- $44.29
- User PnL
- -$5.98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $42.95
- Potential profit
- $42.95
- User PnL
- -$9.92
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $171.6
Yes position
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.41
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.69
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $43.82
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.64
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.95
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.57
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.78
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.94
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.96
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.66
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.32
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.51
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.17
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.06
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.72
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.13
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.12
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.02
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.89
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.83
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.31
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 1.3% 593.85 shares
- Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.9% 434.78 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 0.7% 1,235.71 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes 4.8% 208.33 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETUp 17% 29.41 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes 3.9% 769.35 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6.6% 447.76 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ETDown 42% 11.9 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ETUp 27.7% 13.51 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ETUp 37% 13.51 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ETDown 14.8% 24.5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ETDown 39% 64.1 shares