Yes position
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $300.53
- Potential payout
- $513.73
- Potential profit
- $213.2
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- -$33.39
Polymarket Trader
CriptoDadz
@CriptoDadz
0x1264bf675af19c3cc1218b108a00e6da12e031e5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.32K
- Realized PnL
- $7.85K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 19
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $238
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $162
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $34
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.1%
- Current value
- $237.15
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $62.85
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $17.61
No position
Kash Patel out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $286.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $13.5
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $85.5
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $85.47
- Potential payout
- $299.99
- Potential profit
- $214.52
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$49.53
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $198.5
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $1.5
- User PnL
- $28.5
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $189
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $11
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $21
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $98.05
- Potential payout
- $129.87
- Potential profit
- $31.82
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$1.95
No position
Will Russia capture Dorozhnie by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Current value
- $5.16
- Potential payout
- $100.26
- Potential profit
- $95.09
- Multiplier
- 19.42x
- User PnL
- -$76.64
No position
Will Russia capture Dorozhnie by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $9
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $91
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$81
No position
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $91.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $8.5
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $3.5
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $99.1
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $0.9
- User PnL
- $25.1
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Current value
- $93.6
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $6.4
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $3.6
No position
Will Russia enter Havrylivka by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $94.25
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $5.75
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $2.25
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $15
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $85
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$14
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $99.14
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $0.85
- User PnL
- $19.85
No position
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $90.48
- Potential payout
- $99.98
- Potential profit
- $9.5
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $12.5
No position
Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $49.35
- Potential payout
- $53.06
- Potential profit
- $3.71
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Russia capture Stavky by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $43.56
- Potential payout
- $48.4
- Potential profit
- $4.84
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $0.97
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01K
No position
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $854.65
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $607.58
No position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $527.99
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?
Ends Jan 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $406.36
No position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $336.36
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $304.67
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $287.44
No position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $253.14
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $200.11
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $185.37
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $172.76
No position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $171.24
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160.6
No position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?
Ends Dec 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $158.4
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $146.43
No position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $144.2
No position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $141.74
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $140.47
No position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140.13
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $137.51
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 3 to January 5, 2026?
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132.12
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Yes 65% 513.73 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 12% 261.21 shares
- Starmer out by July 31, 2026?No 4.2% 140 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 77% 129.87 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 70% 142.86 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?No 71.6% 80.28 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?No 68% 10.29 shares
- Will Russia capture Stavky by July 31?No 88% 48.4 shares
- Will Russia enter Havrylivka by July 31, 2026?No 92% 100 shares
- Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31?No 88% 30.01 shares
- Will Russia capture Dorozhnie by June 30, 2026?No 90% 51 shares
- Will Russia capture Dorozhnie by July 31, 2026?No 80% 0.3 shares