No position
Base FDV above $12B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $5.25K
- Potential payout
- $6.52K
- Potential profit
- $1.27K
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $176.26
Polymarket Trader
sipp-
0x126f15c7bd21bf5bf136f3629e10990dc0677137
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $11K
- Realized PnL
- $12.12K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.03K
- Potential profit
- $3.03K
- User PnL
- -$1.78K
Yes position
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $16B?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $551.09
- Potential payout
- $2.56K
- Potential profit
- $2.01K
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$1.23K
No position
Base FDV above $10B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $2.05K
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $449.85
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $22.87
Yes position
USDC depeg by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.2K
- Potential profit
- $2.2K
- User PnL
- -$33.22
No position
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $1.93K
- Potential payout
- $2.01K
- Potential profit
- $83.59
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$4.32
No position
Pacifica FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 59.7%
- Current value
- $880.89
- Potential payout
- $1.48K
- Potential profit
- $594.64
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- -$487.77
Yes position
USDT depeg in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $759.76
- Potential profit
- $759.76
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Another crypto hack over $100m in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $473.82
- Potential profit
- $473.82
- User PnL
- -$70.32
Yes position
USD1 depeg by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $403.25
- Potential profit
- $403.25
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
PYUSD depeg by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $395.75
- Potential profit
- $395.75
- User PnL
- -$180
Yes position
Will Route2FI win the Orderly trading competition?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $334.62
- Potential profit
- $334.62
- User PnL
- -$13.5
Yes position
USDE depeg by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $297.62
- Potential profit
- $297.62
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in September?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $279.27
- Potential profit
- $279.27
- User PnL
- -$4.46
Yes position
Will 0xJack win the Aster trading competition?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $223.25
- Potential profit
- $223.25
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Google’s Gemini 2.5 Pro lose the NOF1.ai competition?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$64
No position
Will Trove launch a token by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $189.96
- Potential profit
- $189.96
- User PnL
- -$110.13
Yes position
Will xAI’s Grok 4 lose the NOF1.ai competition?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $183.33
- Potential profit
- $183.33
- User PnL
- -$6
No position
Will Diplo run the 5k in under 20 minutes?
Ends Oct 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $169.85
- Potential profit
- $169.85
- User PnL
- -$145.88
No position
Theo FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $146.56
- Potential payout
- $161.15
- Potential profit
- $14.58
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $8.75
Yes position
Will ThreadGuy appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $156.19
- Potential profit
- $156.19
- User PnL
- -$32.59
No position
Will Plasma reach $1.20 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $140.64
- Potential payout
- $152.04
- Potential profit
- $11.4
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $20.64
No position
Will Bitcoin kimchi premium hit 8% in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $50.72
- Potential payout
- $151.42
- Potential profit
- $100.69
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$19.08
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Hypurr NFT airdrop by November 30?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.63K
Yes position
Liverpool wins the Premier League?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2K
No position
Up Only podcast released by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $773.95
No position
Will Base launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $642.59
No position
Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $548.5
No position
Paradex FDV above $750M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $517.57
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $455.35
No position
Up Only podcast released by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $410
No position
Will Perena launch a token by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $393.44
No position
Will CZ return to Binance by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $353.05
Yes position
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $346.9
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $341.07
No position
Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $337.05
Yes position
Pump.fun >$4B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $336.57
No position
Ethereum all time high in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $334.48
No position
Hyperliquid all time high by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $331.26
Yes position
Another crypto hack over $100m in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $317.38
Yes position
Will Plasma dip to $1.00 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $300
No position
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $285.27
Yes position
Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $273.57
No position
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1.4m?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $250.76
Yes position
Plasma >$800M market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $248.86
No position
Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $247
No position
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $246.68
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch?No 97% 350 shares
- Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?No 58% 559.16 shares
- Pacifica FDV above $2B one day after launch?No 91.9% 732.92 shares
- Pacifica FDV above $1B one day after launch?No 92.7% 300 shares
- Theo FDV above $1B one day after launch?No 94% 600 shares
- Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?No 81.8% 2,413.17 shares
- Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?No 59.9% 559.17 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes 26% 127.34 shares
- Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 98.5% 500 shares
- Theo FDV above $700M one day after launch?No 95.3% 697.51 shares
- Theo FDV above $1B one day after launch?No 94.7% 300 shares
- Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?No 91.6% 2,048.77 shares