No position
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?
Ends Dec 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.6K
- Potential profit
- $1.6K
- User PnL
- -$287.38
Polymarket Trader
Fire-Phoenix
0x1288c9c2a6ab6d545fa246684631822131e4dac9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $47.4
- Realized PnL
- $212.42
- Win rate
- 47.4%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit $200 before 2026??
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.29K
- Potential profit
- $1.29K
- User PnL
- -$99.9
No position
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.12K
- Potential profit
- $1.12K
- User PnL
- -$56.13
Yes position
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $940
- Potential profit
- $940
- User PnL
- -$103.8
Yes position
Will NVIDIA reach $208 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $670
- Potential profit
- $670
- User PnL
- -$221.1
Yes position
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $17
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $383
- Multiplier
- 23.53x
- User PnL
- -$19
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Current value
- $13.4
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $386.6
- Multiplier
- 29.85x
- User PnL
- -$86.6
Yes position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 end of January?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$96
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$150
Yes position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $190–195 in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $199.99
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $17
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $182.99
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$9
Yes position
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2025 be over 5.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $160.64
- Potential profit
- $160.64
- User PnL
- -$6.89
No position
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $110
- Potential profit
- $110
- User PnL
- -$5.5
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $70
- User PnL
- -$2.8
No position
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 22?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.06
- Potential profit
- $51.06
- User PnL
- -$4.08
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
S&P 500 all time high by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $181.43
Yes position
Will Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.55
Yes position
Will Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $47.49
Yes position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit $190 before 2026??
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.5
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8
Yes position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of January?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8
No position
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 18?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.75
Yes position
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 15?
Ends Dec 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.2
Yes position
Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.09
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.22
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: December
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.89
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Google (GOOGL) hit $335 before 2026??
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.01
No position
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$62.1
Yes position
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $280-$285 on the final day of trading of the week of Dec 1 – Dec 5?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$108
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of January?Yes 68% 16.52 shares
- Will NVIDIA reach $208 in January?Yes 33% 270 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes 88% 100 shares
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 end of January?Yes 32% 170 shares
- Will NVIDIA reach $208 in January?Yes 33% 300 shares
- Will China GDP growth in Q4 2025 be over 5.0%?Yes 4.2% 24.19 shares
- Will Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025?Yes 33.9% 294.99 shares
- Will Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025?Yes 42% 10.07 shares
- Will Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025?Yes 41.8% 56.42 shares
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit $200 before 2026??Yes 10% 147.22 shares
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit $200 before 2026??Yes 5.9% 10.64 shares
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit $200 before 2026??Yes 14.4% 154.95 shares