Yes position
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.02K
- Potential profit
- $4.02K
- User PnL
- -$1K
Polymarket Trader
Halley01
0x128b01c68900a23798d151b7f56942d9f6fb7c4f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $9.36K
- Realized PnL
- $2.25K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 20
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce no change at the April meeting?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.1K
- Potential profit
- $2.1K
- User PnL
- -$2.05K
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $1.92K
- Potential payout
- $1.95K
- Potential profit
- $27.24
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $47.86
No position
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between 2% and 4% in May?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $1.14K
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $162.5
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $6.68
Yes position
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $1.26K
- Potential payout
- $1.27K
- Potential profit
- $6.98
- User PnL
- $53.91
No position
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between 6% and 8% in May?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $1.19K
- Potential payout
- $1.19K
- Potential profit
- $1.79
- User PnL
- $11.15
No position
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between 4% and 6% in May?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $1.02K
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $13.49
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $22.62
Yes position
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the April meeting?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $1.03K
- User PnL
- -$1K
No position
Will UBS fail by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $995
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- $3.5
No position
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be below 40.0 in June?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $723.4
- Potential payout
- $733.29
- Potential profit
- $9.9
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $33.11
No position
Will Citigroup fail by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $602.58
- Potential payout
- $605
- Potential profit
- $2.42
- User PnL
- $2.89
No position
Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $379.71
- Potential payout
- $382
- Potential profit
- $2.29
- User PnL
- $8.06
Brazil position
Spread: Brazil (-2.5)
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $270
- Potential profit
- $270
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $70
- User PnL
- -$14.19
Yes position
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $13.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $36.75
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be below -4% in May?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 45%
- Current value
- $22.5
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $27.5
- Multiplier
- 2.22x
- User PnL
- $5.65
Yes position
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -2% and 0% in May?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.1%
- Current value
- $5.03
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $44.98
- Multiplier
- 9.95x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between 0% and 2% in May?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $4.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $45.75
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
No position
Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $45.84
- Potential payout
- $46
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will there be 5 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $39.9
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $412.52
Yes position
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $237.12
No position
Will annual inflation increase by 3.6% in April?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132.8
Yes position
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% or more in March?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.26
No position
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.61
No position
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.45
Yes position
Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate after the April Meeting?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.8
Yes position
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.79
No position
Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 6.8M and 6.9M in April?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95
No position
Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.31
Yes position
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q1 2026 be at least 2.5%?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.37
No position
US bank failure by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.36
Yes position
Will annual inflation increase by ≥2.8% in March?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.58
No position
Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 6.7M and 6.8M in April?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66
No position
Will the March 2026 unemployment rate be ≥4.7%?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.66
Yes position
Will JOLTS Job Openings be at least 7.2M in April?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.87
No position
Will the May 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.3
Yes position
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.68
No position
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in April?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.8
No position
Will there be 5 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.94
No position
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% or less in April?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.43
No position
Will the US add between 200k and 250k jobs in April?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.76
No position
Will Japan GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between -0.3% and -0.1%?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.55
No position
US bank failure by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.06
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 98.8% 19.99 shares
- Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between 6% and 8% in May?No 99.9% 10 shares
- Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?Yes 98% 5.89 shares
- Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?Yes 98% 60 shares
- Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?Yes 97.9% 300 shares
- Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?No 97.9% 12 shares
- Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?Yes 97% 16.29 shares
- Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?Yes 97% 20 shares
- Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?Yes 97% 200 shares
- Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?Yes 93% 50 shares
- Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?Yes 93% 50 shares
- Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?Yes 93% 50 shares