Polymarket Trader

NathanielMeyer2565

@BridgeNyem24163

0x1294da2eeb65416e1bf007c6b428ef13fdf29151

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.42K
Realized PnL: $3.25K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $984.84
Potential payout: $1.13K
Potential profit: $147.16
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $350.92

Yes position

Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 33%
Current value: $263.34
Potential payout: $798
Potential profit: $534.66
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: -$23.94

Yes position

Weed rescheduled by December 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 27.7%
Current value: $151.52
Potential payout: $548
Potential profit: $396.48
Multiplier: 3.62x
User PnL: -$35.89

Yes position

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $10.64
Potential payout: $76
Potential profit: $65.36
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: -$17.48

Yes position

Over $200M raised on Coinbase in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $7.8
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $12.2
Multiplier: 2.56x
User PnL: -$10.4

Yes position

Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $2.84
Potential payout: $9.98
Potential profit: $7.14
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $1.95
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$0.36

Yes position

Will 9-10 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $0.11
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $1.89
Multiplier: 17.54x
User PnL: -$0.21

Yes position

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $1.64
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $0.36
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $1.4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will MrBeast say "Tesla" or "Lamborghini" during his next YouTube video?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $390.32

Yes position

Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2025-12-21?

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $370.98

Yes position

Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $305.2

No position

Will Keir Starmer say "Denmark" or "Greenland" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $224.02

Yes position

Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: $198.3

No position

Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $154.33

Up position

Solana Up or Down - February 18, 1AM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $153.5

Under position

Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.56

No position

Will SpaceX have exactly 10 launches in February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115.51

Eastern Illinois Panthers position

Blackburn Beavers vs. Eastern Illinois Panthers

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.04

Yes position

Will "Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (December 30, 2025)

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $101.09

Yes position

Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 16.5%
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $99.75

No position

Will Kendrick Lamar perform at the 2026 Grammy Awards?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.71

No position

Will Solstice launch a token by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $93.59

Yes position

Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $80.29

No position

Will Supha Xayprasith-Mays win the 2026 Arkansas Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.72

Yes position

Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Multiplier: 58.82x
User PnL: $75.55

No position

Over $1B raised on Coinbase in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 93.5%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $75.22

Yes position

Will Polymarket mindshare hit 75%?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.56

Yes position

Will Bally’s Corporation receive a license for Bally’s New York casino in The Bronx?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.71

No position

Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.1

No position

Will Agomab Therapeutics NV's market cap be between $600M and $700M at market close on IPO day?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.07

No position

Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $65.89

Yes position

Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $62.16

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Yes 33% 35 shares
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?

No 56% 1,132 shares
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

No 46.6% 560 shares
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-01-04?

No 44% 777 shares
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5

Under 50% 871 shares
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

No 51.9% 560 shares
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-01-04?

No 45% 777 shares
Blackburn Beavers vs. Eastern Illinois Panthers

Eastern Illinois Panthers 78.9% 531 shares
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?

No 41% 73 shares
Dundee United FC vs. St Mirren FC: O/U 1.5

Under 88% 342 shares
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?

No 91.2% 411 shares
Will Trump say "Panama" during the State of the Union address?

No 13% 491 shares