CryptoGo

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $462
Potential payout: $28K
Potential profit: $27.54K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$57.99

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $9.89K
Potential payout: $20.82K
Potential profit: $10.93K
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $1.49K

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $130
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $19.87K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $329
Potential payout: $14K
Potential profit: $13.67K
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: $105

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 35.3%
Current value: $2.96K
Potential payout: $8.4K
Potential profit: $5.44K
Multiplier: 2.84x
User PnL: -$201.05

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $7.68K
Potential payout: $8.26K
Potential profit: $578.33
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $1.45K

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.5K
Potential profit: $5.5K
User PnL: -$1.45K

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.5K
Potential profit: $5.5K
User PnL: -$554.99

Yes position

Ukraine election called in 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.3K
Potential profit: $5.3K
User PnL: -$396.02

Yes position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 7.3%
Current value: $362.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.64K
Multiplier: 13.79x
User PnL: $87.5

Yes position

Khamenei seen in public by March 14?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$165

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.4K
Potential profit: $4.4K
User PnL: -$1.95K

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $1.6K
Potential payout: $4.06K
Potential profit: $2.46K
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $847.36

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$28

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $505.05
Potential payout: $3.7K
Potential profit: $3.19K
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$16.65

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.7K
Potential profit: $3.7K
User PnL: -$153.55

Yes position

US forces in Venezuela by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.2K
Potential profit: $3.2K
User PnL: -$507.86

Yes position

Will Turkiye reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 6.6%
Current value: $200.3
Potential payout: $3.06K
Potential profit: $2.86K
Multiplier: 15.27x
User PnL: -$105.5

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.02K
Potential profit: $3.02K
User PnL: -$1.16K

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $346.14
Potential payout: $3.01K
Potential profit: $2.66K
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$9.6

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$839.91

Yes position

Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $195
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.81K
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$45

No position

Will Lighter dip to $1 before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.83K
Potential profit: $2.83K
User PnL: -$500.35

Yes position

Will Russia capture Lyman by January 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.7K
Potential profit: $2.7K
User PnL: -$434.99

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Trump visit China by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.48K

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.94K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.73K

Yes position

Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 3, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.36K

Yes position

Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28K

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $994.29

Yes position

Will Russia recapture Sudzha by March 31?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $886.42

No position

Will Trump visit China by March 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $772.88

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $662.65

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $560

Yes position

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $495

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $392.35

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $387.5

No position

Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $373.72

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $370

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $353.14

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 7th?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $341.38

Yes position

Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by December 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $333.92

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $332.81

Yes position

Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $298.04

Yes position

Will Russia capture territory in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast by June 30?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $282.4

No position

Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $278.67

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?