Yes position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of April 27 above $205?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$5.75
Polymarket Trader
cit500
@logcowboy
0x12b20c267ade52dbdda9dce0684ffaec7d93a11d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $20.62
- Realized PnL
- $572.54
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Another Iranian diplomat expelled by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$8.65
Yes position
GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $3.39
- Potential payout
- $14.73
- Potential profit
- $11.34
- Multiplier
- 4.35x
- User PnL
- $0.59
No position
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$8.18
No position
Will MrBeast hit 494 million subscribers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$4.65
Yes position
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $0.53
- Potential payout
- $9.6
- Potential profit
- $9.07
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$1.11
Yes position
Will Trump say "Shakespeare" during King Charles visit?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.32
- Potential profit
- $8.32
- User PnL
- -$1.71
No position
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 48%
- Current value
- $2.88
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $3.12
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- $0.94
Yes position
Deel IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $0.23
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.78
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$1.48
Yes position
MegaETH FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$1.18
No position
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $3.98
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $1.03
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $0.93
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$3.1
No position
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.45
N
No position
Will the Democratic Party win the LA-06 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $4.63
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.38
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.38
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $0.33
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.68
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.53
No position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$1.05
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Discord IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.4%
- Current value
- $2.22
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $2.78
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.98
No position
Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$1.15
Yes position
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.75 Week of April 27 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$1.25
No position
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.4
No position
MegaETH FDV above $1.4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49%
- Current value
- $2.45
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $2.55
- Multiplier
- 2.04x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 12PM ET
Ends Sep 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.97
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 3PM ET
Ends Sep 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 2PM ET
Ends Sep 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.42
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 6AM ET
Ends Sep 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.82
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4PM ET
Ends Sep 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.08
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8AM ET
Ends Sep 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.66
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10AM ET
Ends Sep 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.37
No position
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.97
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 12PM ET
Ends Sep 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.65
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10AM ET
Ends Sep 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.07
Yes position
US shelter-in-place order lifted in Jalisco by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12PM ET
Ends Oct 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7PM ET
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.8
Up position
XRP Up or Down - October 24, 7AM ET
Ends Oct 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 12PM ET
Ends Sep 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.51
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 8AM ET
Ends Sep 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.97
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4AM ET
Ends Sep 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.8
Up position
XRP Up or Down - October 30, 11PM ET
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.3
Up position
XRP Up or Down - October 31, 9AM ET
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.05
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8AM ET
Ends Sep 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?No 93.3% 5 shares
- Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?No 52% 10 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Yes 47% 5 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Yes 39% 5 shares
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Yes 45% 5 shares
- Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?No 90% 5 shares
- Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?No 40% 5 shares
- US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes 48% 5 shares
- Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No 35% 5 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?No 37% 5 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?Yes 47% 5 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes 49% 5 shares