Yes position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $440.12
- Potential payout
- $4.4K
- Potential profit
- $3.96K
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$192.62
Polymarket Trader
jsjr
0x12bff6ca3cb6cfc950a27b275b795fd84d4dddaf
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.88K
- Realized PnL
- $96.09K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 19
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.31K
- Potential profit
- $3.31K
- User PnL
- -$22.74
Yes position
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.29K
- Potential profit
- $3.29K
- User PnL
- -$31.2
Yes position
Iran Nuke before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.3%
- Current value
- $190.93
- Potential payout
- $2.63K
- Potential profit
- $2.44K
- Multiplier
- 13.79x
- User PnL
- -$24.65
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.61K
- Potential profit
- $2.61K
- User PnL
- -$1.85K
Yes position
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 69%
- Current value
- $1.79K
- Potential payout
- $2.6K
- Potential profit
- $805.72
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- $540.76
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.58K
- Potential profit
- $2.58K
- User PnL
- -$412.76
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.94K
- Potential profit
- $1.94K
- User PnL
- -$708.79
No position
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.84K
- Potential profit
- $1.84K
- User PnL
- -$43.45
No position
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $127.75
- Potential payout
- $405.56
- Potential profit
- $277.81
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- -$30.42
Yes position
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Current value
- $117.04
- Potential payout
- $360.11
- Potential profit
- $243.07
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- $4.54
No position
Starmer out by October 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $31.18
- Potential payout
- $346.47
- Potential profit
- $315.29
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- $2.1
No position
Starmer out by August 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $64.39
- Potential payout
- $338.89
- Potential profit
- $274.5
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- -$9.53
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $114.09
- Potential payout
- $274.92
- Potential profit
- $160.83
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- $82.28
Yes position
Will Russia capture Bilytske by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $143.32
- Potential profit
- $143.32
- User PnL
- -$5.45
Yes position
Will Russia enter Borova by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80.97
- Potential profit
- $80.97
- User PnL
- -$37.25
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $59.32
- Potential profit
- $59.32
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.28
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $39.72
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$2.4
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.2%
- Current value
- $0.98
- Potential payout
- $2.39
- Potential profit
- $1.4
- Multiplier
- 2.43x
- User PnL
- $0.24
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.66K
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.93K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.86K
Yes position
US military action against Iran before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.64K
Yes position
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.3K
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.46K
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.4K
Yes position
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.04K
Yes position
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.47K
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.29K
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.91K
No position
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.89K
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.47K
Yes position
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.47K
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.37K
Yes position
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.33K
Yes position
Will Russia capture Rodynske by October 31?
Ends Sep 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.23K
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.84K
No position
US military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.73K
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7K
No position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.61K
No position
Will Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55K
Yes position
Sea/Air ceasefire in Ukraine before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48K
No position
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.46K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Starmer out by July 31, 2026?No 39% 105 shares
- Starmer out by October 31, 2026?No 16% 83 shares
- Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?Yes 6.2% 0.16 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 30% 263.98 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Yes 83% 0.26 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes 15.2% 617.14 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 5% 113.64 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 16% 151.16 shares
- Iran Nuke before 2027?Yes 7.3% 45.36 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No 35% 37.82 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?No 70% 9.44 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?No 71% 7.52 shares