Yes position
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22K
- Potential profit
- $22K
- User PnL
- -$894.78
Polymarket Trader
Nancy-Pelosi
0x12c010bd85a7cd6db0a9f3febcbfc31ee6bb7bd8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $215.8
- Realized PnL
- $62.62K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Fact Check: Is Tyler Robinson queer?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13K
- Potential profit
- $13K
- User PnL
- -$601.96
Yes position
Ghislaine Maxwell released from custody in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $6K
- User PnL
- -$709.96
Yes position
Will Ghislaine Maxwell cut a deal with the Feds by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.5K
- Potential profit
- $5.5K
- User PnL
- -$1.19K
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$699.99
No position
Will GPT-5 be released by December 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.4K
- Potential profit
- $3.4K
- User PnL
- -$99.59
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $215.8
- Potential payout
- $3.32K
- Potential profit
- $3.1K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$410.68
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$301
Yes position
Will a cat 5 hurricane make US landfall during Hurricane Season 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$200
No position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$130
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will there be a US Government shutdown?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.85K
No position
Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.97K
No position
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.99K
No position
Will Mike Pompeo be a member of the Trump administration?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.98K
Yes position
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.72K
No position
Will Joe Rogan announce he is voting for Trump?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.63K
No position
Will House and Senate pass funding bill by midnight?
Ends Dec 21, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.53K
No position
Matt Gaetz confirmed as Attorney General?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.18K
Yes position
South Korean President impeached in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.01K
No position
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent for Treasury Secretary?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.83K
No position
Will Vivek Ramaswamy be a member of the Trump administration?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8K
No position
Will Nancy Pelosi attend presidential inauguration?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74K
No position
Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.64K
No position
Trump formally nominates Matt Gaetz for AG?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6K
Yes position
Will Joe Rogan attend presidential inauguration?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44K
No position
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31K
Yes position
218 votes for Mike Johnson to be Speaker on first ballot?
Ends Jan 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26K
No position
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21K
Yes position
Will Edmundo González win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?
Ends Jul 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21K
No position
Will Kari Lake be a member of the Trump administration?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.18K
No position
Will Nicolas Maduro Win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?
Ends Jul 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17K
No position
180-199 MPs vote to impeach Yoon?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16K
No position
Will the next US Speaker be elected in one ballot?
Ends Jan 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.12K
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will GPT-5 be released by August 5?Yes 13% 1,912.99 shares
- Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Yes 20% 1,639.9 shares
- New pandemic in 2025?Yes 9% 743.4 shares
- RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?No 26% 4,216.49 shares
- Will Trump issue 20-24 executive orders on Day 1?Yes 25% 1,980 shares
- Will Trump pardon January 6 protestors on Day 1?Yes 99% 849.72 shares
- Will Trump issue less than 10 executive orders on Day 1?Yes 8.3% 377.48 shares
- Will Trump pardon January 6 protestors on Day 1?No 30.1% 509.65 shares
- Will Trump pardon January 6 protestors on Day 1?No 31% 952.58 shares
- Mike Johnson out as Speaker before inauguration?Yes 17.2% 5.8 shares
- Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes 11% 13,463.47 shares
- Yoon arrested by January 31?Yes 59% 5 shares