Jmkfearless

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $20K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.75K
Potential profit: $14.75K
User PnL: -$419.99

Yes position

Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.9K
Potential profit: $10.9K
User PnL: -$10.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.01K
Potential profit: $10.01K
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.79K
Potential profit: $8.79K
User PnL: -$60.59

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.61K
Potential profit: $7.61K
User PnL: -$99.99

Yes position

Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.24K
Potential profit: $7.24K
User PnL: -$24

Up position

XRP Up or Down - January 5, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.95K
Potential profit: $6.95K
User PnL: -$560.6

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.66K
Potential profit: $6.66K
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.32K
Potential profit: $6.32K
User PnL: -$109.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 9PM ET

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.12K
Potential profit: $6.12K
User PnL: -$275.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.88K
Potential profit: $5.88K
User PnL: -$1.39K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.18K
Potential profit: $5.18K
User PnL: -$763.69

Up position

Solana Up or Down - January 18, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.13K
Potential profit: $5.13K
User PnL: -$165.81

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $52.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.95K
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: $52.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 1AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.88K
Potential profit: $4.88K
User PnL: -$439.41

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.85K
Potential profit: $4.85K
User PnL: -$234.41

Yes position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.5K
Potential profit: $4.5K
User PnL: -$18

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.48K
Potential profit: $4.48K
User PnL: -$1.18K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.43K
Potential profit: $4.43K
User PnL: -$1.61K

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $230.19
Potential payout: $4.07K
Potential profit: $3.84K
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: $10.19

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$40

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 5AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.96K
Potential profit: $3.96K
User PnL: -$484.71

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $13.46
Potential payout: $3.85K
Potential profit: $3.83K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $13.46

Jazz position

Jazz vs. Clippers

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.68K
Potential profit: $3.68K
User PnL: -$500

Yes position

Will the price of XRP be above $2.40 on December 27?

Ends Dec 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.54K
Potential profit: $3.54K
User PnL: -$100

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 8PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.5K
Potential profit: $3.5K
User PnL: -$783.77

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.49K
Potential profit: $3.49K
User PnL: -$370.25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.47K
Potential profit: $3.47K
User PnL: -$240.57

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 8PM ET

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.45K
Potential profit: $3.45K
User PnL: -$545.9

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 21, 7PM ET

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.34K
Potential profit: $3.34K
User PnL: -$40

Up position

XRP Up or Down - January 6, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.2K
Potential profit: $3.2K
User PnL: -$713.61

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 9PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.12K
Potential profit: $3.12K
User PnL: -$260

Up position

XRP Up or Down - January 15, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.03K
Potential profit: $3.03K
User PnL: -$20

Up position

XRP Up or Down - January 9, 7AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.97K
Potential profit: $2.97K
User PnL: -$430

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.96K
Potential profit: $2.96K
User PnL: -$76

Up position

Solana Up or Down - February 27, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.91K
Potential profit: $2.91K
User PnL: -$791.59

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.85K
Potential profit: $2.85K
User PnL: -$438.02

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 6PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.83K
Potential profit: $2.83K
User PnL: -$929.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 11PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.82K
Potential profit: $2.82K
User PnL: -$480

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 7AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.81K
Potential profit: $2.81K
User PnL: -$736.13

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.79K
Potential profit: $2.79K
User PnL: -$398.5

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 15, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.76K
Potential profit: $2.76K
User PnL: -$279.32

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 5PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.73K
Potential profit: $2.73K
User PnL: -$540

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.68K
Potential profit: $2.68K
User PnL: -$110.52

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.61K
Potential profit: $2.61K
User PnL: -$140

Yes position

Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.6%
Current value: $94
Potential payout: $2.61K
Potential profit: $2.52K
Multiplier: 27.78x
User PnL: $94

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 9PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.57K
Potential profit: $2.57K
User PnL: -$200

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 7PM ET

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.7K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 7AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.72K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.06K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.93K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 3AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.83K

Down position

Solana Up or Down - January 15, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.82K

Down position

XRP Up or Down - February 10, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.73K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.71K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.68K

Down position

XRP Up or Down - January 9, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.57K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.46K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.45K

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 24, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38K

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 21, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.24K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 5PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17K

Bears position

Packers vs. Bears

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09K

Kings position

Rockets vs. Kings

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06K

Up position

XRP Up or Down - January 9, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04K

Up position

XRP Up or Down - January 9, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01K

Down position

XRP Up or Down - January 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $989.5

Up position

XRP Up or Down - January 6, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $931.49

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 6PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $908.63

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 16, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $863.94

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $845.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 9PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $841.93

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $839.12

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 10PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $822.79

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 15, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $771.88

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 2AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $768.11

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $767.98

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $764.33

Down position

XRP Up or Down - January 10, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $754.96

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $731.65

Down position

XRP Up or Down - January 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $731.51

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 3AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $726.81

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $712.13

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET

Ends Dec 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $680.58

Up position

XRP Up or Down - January 9, 5PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $678.46

Down position

XRP Up or Down - January 9, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $646.83

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $638.75

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 21, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $631.66

Down position

Solana Up or Down - February 21, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $609.78

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $604.38

Up position

XRP Up or Down - February 27, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $582.86

Down position

XRP Up or Down - January 9, 9PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $571.5

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 10, 11PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $570.59

Down position

XRP Up or Down - January 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET