Polymarket Trader

zZQ8xU4Btx

0x12d1a6ffcdb9056340346c3ba0aed4543de446cf

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $23.85K
Realized PnL: $50.17K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.8%
Current value: $12.65K
Potential payout: $13.21K
Potential profit: $561.31
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $903.61

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $4.06K
Potential payout: $4.06K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $895.55

No position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$3.32K

No position

Houthis agree to end attacks on shipping before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.57K
Potential profit: $3.57K
User PnL: -$2.12K

No position

Houthis agree to end attacks on shipping before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.5K
Potential profit: $3.5K
User PnL: -$2.56K

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $2.67K
Potential payout: $3.08K
Potential profit: $416.15
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $119.02

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $1.88K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $121
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $179

No position

Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $1.62K
Potential payout: $1.7K
Potential profit: $76.47
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $161.44

No position

Bayrou out as French PM in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.68K
Potential profit: $1.68K
User PnL: -$385.49

No position

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $981.85
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $68.26
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $99.76

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 19, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19K

No position

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the debate?

Ends Jun 27, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.45K

No position

Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.11K

No position

Biden drops out by July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.07K

No position

Will Gavin Newsom be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?

Ends Aug 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63K

No position

Macron out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58K

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56K

No position

Starmer out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.47K

Yes position

Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on March 1, 2021?

Ends Mar 2, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38K

No position

Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 19, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.37K

No position

Gold missing from Fort Knox?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28K

No position

Will Donald Trump be inaugurated for his second term as President of the USA on Inauguration Day, January 20th, 2021?

Ends Feb 1, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.24K

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05K

Yes position

Will Biden finish his term?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $930

Yes position

Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $810

No position

Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $750.33

Yes position

Yoon out as president of South Korea before May?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $658

No position

US bank failure before September?

Ends Aug 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $631.4

No position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $583.33

No position

Will Donald Trump's Twitter account be active on March 1, 2021?

Ends Mar 1, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $548.51

Yes position

Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $540

No position

Reform wins the second most seats in next UK election?

Ends Jul 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $532.96

No position

Will Joe Manchin run for West Virginia Governor?

Ends Aug 1, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $505.56

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $484.35

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?

No 86% 1,699.4 shares
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

No 83% 4,000 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No 80% 735.7 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No 72% 1,006 shares
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?

No 85% 860.29 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

No 79% 5,000 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

No 88% 207.4 shares
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

No 83% 1,970.35 shares
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

No 82% 1,112.27 shares
Maduro out in 2025?

No 86% 2,000 shares
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

No 84% 1,050.11 shares
Xi Jinping out before 2027?

No 85% 2,000 shares