Polymarket Trader

ceceliadavis

0x12d2d679e03be62eee392781875d53012beefc06

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $130.97
Realized PnL: -$73.58
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 4
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $108,000 and $110,000 on October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 32%
Current value: $130.97
Potential payout: $409.27
Potential profit: $278.3
Multiplier: 3.13x
User PnL: $36.7

Yes position

Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $77
Potential profit: $77
User PnL: -$10.01

Down position

Solana Up or Down - October 31, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.4
Potential profit: $38.4
User PnL: -$3.84

Yes position

VOOI FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $35
User PnL: -$7

No position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.88
Potential profit: $21.88
User PnL: -$7

Down position

Solana Up or Down - October 31, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.03
Potential profit: $21.03
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19
Potential profit: $19
User PnL: -$4.75

Up position

Solana Up or Down - October 31, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.24
Potential profit: $17.24
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.44
Potential profit: $15.44
User PnL: -$4.94

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Octra FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.09

Yes position

Octra FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.72

No position

Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$26.94

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$31.82

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Yes 24% 13 shares
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Yes 23% 22 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET

Down 32% 15.26 shares
Octra FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Yes 10% 22.72 shares
Octra FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Yes 9% 32.25 shares
Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more?

Yes 25% 19 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

No 6% 102.64 shares
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

No 8% 163.2 shares
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

No 13% 76.92 shares
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?

No 32% 21.88 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

No 37% 81.08 shares
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

No 34.8% 86.28 shares