Polymarket Trader

balabalaba

0x12df769e90c8d9a3e8caaf1c89f8007f453e6a3d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $7.46K
Realized PnL: -$603.91
Win rate: 33.3%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $190K
Potential profit: $190K
User PnL: -$1.03K

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $135.85K
Potential profit: $135.85K
User PnL: -$4.05K

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80K
Potential profit: $80K
User PnL: -$530

No position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19.7%
Current value: $3.65K
Potential payout: $18.57K
Potential profit: $14.92K
Multiplier: 5.09x
User PnL: $102.67

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.2%
Current value: $366.95
Potential payout: $16.68K
Potential profit: $16.31K
Multiplier: 45.45x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $2.22K
Potential payout: $16.42K
Potential profit: $14.2K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$183.49

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.98K
Potential profit: $11.98K
User PnL: -$251.12

Yes position

Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.32K
Potential profit: $6.32K
User PnL: -$239.99

Yes position

Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.25K
Potential profit: $6.25K
User PnL: -$500

Yes position

Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Saudi Arabia?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $6K
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Saudi Arabia?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.15K
Potential profit: $5.15K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $1.02K
Potential payout: $4.75K
Potential profit: $3.73K
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $20.4

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $208.85
Potential payout: $4.64K
Potential profit: $4.43K
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: $8.86

Yes position

Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Haiti?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.18K
Potential profit: $1.18K
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 12 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $1.06K
User PnL: -$1.06

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
User PnL: -$2.01

Yes position

Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 0 Haiti?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $771.43
Potential profit: $771.43
User PnL: -$54

Yes position

Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Haiti?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $771.43
Potential profit: $771.43
User PnL: -$54

Yes position

Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Saudi Arabia?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $769.23
Potential profit: $769.23
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 0 Haiti?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $769.23
Potential profit: $769.23
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Haiti?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $760.56
Potential profit: $760.56
User PnL: -$54

Yes position

Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $535.71
Potential profit: $535.71
User PnL: -$15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $40.04

Yes position

Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 17%
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: $13.09

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.52

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.26

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 0 Haiti?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.62

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$10.49

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$17.4

Yes position

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$27.36

Yes position

Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 300 (High)?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$30

No position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$37.62

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$46.64

No position

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$52

Yes position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$59.13

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$77.12

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 28.5%
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: -$89.8

No position

Will SpaceX IPO on June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$97.55

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$120.12

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 0.8% 6,625 shares
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

No 19% 17,004.28 shares
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Saudi Arabia?

Yes 1.3% 769.23 shares
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Saudi Arabia?

Yes 1.3% 384.62 shares
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Saudi Arabia?

Yes 0.4% 5,154.95 shares
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Saudi Arabia?

Yes 0.5% 6,000 shares
Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?

Yes 8% 257.09 shares
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 3.7% 5,354.69 shares
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 0.5% 2,000 shares
Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw?

Yes 2.8% 535.71 shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?

Yes 4.3% 4,641.15 shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Yes 21.1% 4,746.02 shares