Polymarket Trader

0x12f47e2a4802445A579e25505562675A2da52e5e-1750605556602

0x12f47e2a4802445a579e25505562675a2da52e5e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.3K
Realized PnL: $12.61K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.46K
Potential profit: $30.46K
User PnL: -$13.02K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.8K
Potential profit: $1.8K
User PnL: -$1.12K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.39K
Potential profit: $1.39K
User PnL: -$1K

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.9%
Current value: $1.28K
Potential payout: $1.34K
Potential profit: $55.56
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $155.96

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $968.23
Potential profit: $968.23
User PnL: -$200

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $744.79
Potential profit: $744.79
User PnL: -$600

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $615.36
Potential profit: $615.36
User PnL: -$400

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $405.92
Potential profit: $405.92
User PnL: -$50

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $369.75
Potential profit: $369.75
User PnL: -$24.96

No position

Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $169
Potential profit: $169
User PnL: -$120.27

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $81.02
Potential profit: $81.02
User PnL: -$42.13

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.87
Potential profit: $65.87
User PnL: -$4.53

Yes position

Will the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (ADMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.39
Potential profit: $65.39
User PnL: -$15.79

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.7%
Current value: $12.39
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $47.61
Multiplier: 4.84x
User PnL: $1.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.63
Potential profit: $52.63
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.81
Potential profit: $45.81
User PnL: -$19.7

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.37K

No position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.63K

Yes position

Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $947.54

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $913.18

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $809.88

Yes position

Will Eight die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $585.09

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $519.51

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $389.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $343.87

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $332.18

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $272.87

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $206.63

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $184.23

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $159.54

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $139.58

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.91

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.77

Yes position

Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.19

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.89

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.27

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.62

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.98

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 84.2% 1,338.7 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Yes 96.9% 1,000 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 62% 1,800 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET

Up 87% 138.7 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET

Down 89.9% 333.87 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET

Up 40.1% 405 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET

Up 74% 405.41 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

Down 12.3% 405.92 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET

Down 21.5% 464.9 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET

Down 19.9% 503.33 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET

Up 20% 341.28 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET

Up 14.7% 341.28 shares