Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.8%
- Current value
- $29.12
- Potential payout
- $147.45
- Potential profit
- $118.33
- Multiplier
- 5.06x
- User PnL
- $29.12
Polymarket Trader
frederick009
0x130685665abfd291de0c9b7e351f438e26fb1468
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $89.62
- Realized PnL
- $304.91
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $133.33
- Potential profit
- $133.33
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.2%
- Current value
- $14.61
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $96.5
- Multiplier
- 7.60x
- User PnL
- $14.61
Yes position
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $110
- Potential profit
- $110
- User PnL
- -$67.1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $108.65
- Potential profit
- $108.65
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $5.33
- Potential payout
- $94.34
- Potential profit
- $89.01
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- $5.33
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $56.24
- Potential profit
- $56.24
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $16.48
- Potential payout
- $55.86
- Potential profit
- $39.38
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- $16.48
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40.08
- Potential profit
- $40.08
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.19
- Potential profit
- $34.19
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.85
- Potential profit
- $29.85
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $24.08
- Potential payout
- $24.39
- Potential profit
- $0.3
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $4.08
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.95
- Potential profit
- $16.95
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.42
- Potential profit
- $16.42
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.36
- Potential profit
- $11.36
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.42
- Potential profit
- $10.42
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Hungary vs. Finland: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.26
- Potential profit
- $9.26
- User PnL
- $0
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.62
- Potential profit
- $8.62
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.2
- Potential profit
- $8.2
- User PnL
- $0
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.14
- Potential profit
- $7.14
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.58
- Potential profit
- $6.58
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.1
- Potential profit
- $6.1
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.96
- Potential profit
- $5.96
- User PnL
- $0
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.43
- Potential profit
- $5.43
- User PnL
- $0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.6
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.61
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.91
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.53
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.51
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.08
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.03
Yes position
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.17
No position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.32
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.66
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.53
Yes position
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.05
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.04
No position
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $6.76
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.31
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.67
Yes position
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.36
No position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.97
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.82
Yes position
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Score
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.47
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.07
No position
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.96
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.79
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.69
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?No 94% 11.62 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Yes 64% 7.81 shares
- Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?Yes 47% 5.88 shares
- Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?Yes 40% 12.5 shares
- Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?Yes 76% 6.58 shares
- Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?Yes 85% 5.88 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?Yes 71% 7.04 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-16?Yes 67% 7.46 shares
- Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?Yes 61% 8.2 shares
- Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?Yes 48% 10.42 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?Yes 93.9% 5.32 shares
- Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?Yes 64% 7.81 shares