Polymarket Trader

MaxLecter

0x130d236d67a07b565d7d54fa1b79f23647ad3205

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $189.7
Realized PnL: -$46.45
Win rate: 39.1%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 23
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 90.1%
Current value: $121.37
Potential payout: $134.7
Potential profit: $13.34
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $13.11

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $46.15
Potential payout: $50.99
Potential profit: $4.84
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $15.15

Yes position

Will Claude go down 9-11 times in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $13.65
Potential payout: $26.01
Potential profit: $12.35
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $8.71

Under position

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.73
Potential profit: $12.73
User PnL: -$7

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 85.3%
Current value: $8.53
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $1.47
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $0.75

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.4

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.38

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

Under position

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.4

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $7.97

Over position

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.11

Eternal Fire position

Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group A

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.6

Walczaki position

Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs KOLESIE (BO5) - European Pro League Series 7 Playoffs

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1

Team Falcons position

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs FURIA (+3.5)

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Eternal Fire position

Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winner

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winner

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

FURIA position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winner

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Under position

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.78

FURIA position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.8

G2 position

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.91

Under position

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.5

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.55

Yes position

Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.6%
Multiplier: 39.22x
User PnL: -$8.8

Aurora Gaming position

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$12.25

KOLESIE position

Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs KOLESIE - Map 3 Winner

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Aurora win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$38.12

Walczaki position

Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs KOLESIE - Map 1 Winner

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$118.21

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

Under 55% 12.73 shares
GPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026?

No 79.6% 5.7 shares
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group A

Eternal Fire 26% 10 shares
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winner

Eternal Fire 70% 4.29 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 93% 145 shares
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs KOLESIE - Map 1 Winner

Walczaki 64.8% 200.62 shares
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in June?

Yes 19% 26.32 shares
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winner

Team Falcons 69% 7.25 shares
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

FURIA 9% 20 shares
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner

Team Falcons 37% 15 shares
Games Total: O/U 2.5

Under 45% 10 shares
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner

Team Falcons 53% 18.87 shares