Polymarket Trader

Tk2025

0x131bcf98856e2ac178509b3a5e7a891ac06597c3

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $237.5
Realized PnL: $5.45K
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 10
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will another country strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.62K
Potential profit: $4.62K
User PnL: -$2K

Yes position

Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.96K
Potential profit: $3.96K
User PnL: -$1K

Yes position

Iran leadership change by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.03K
Potential profit: $3.03K
User PnL: -$371

Yes position

Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$461

Yes position

Iran leadership change by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.53K
Potential profit: $1.53K
User PnL: -$230

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.43K
Potential profit: $1.43K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.43K
Potential profit: $1.43K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.17K
Potential profit: $1.17K
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $1.05K
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $185.53
Potential payout: $789.48
Potential profit: $603.95
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $35.53

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $357.14
Potential profit: $357.14
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $7.18
Potential payout: $220.9
Potential profit: $213.73
Multiplier: 30.77x
User PnL: -$15.82

No position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $44.79
Potential payout: $203.59
Potential profit: $158.8
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: $10.79

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.33K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.66K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.65K

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $283.18

Yes position

Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $262.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$112

Yes position

Iran leadership change by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$500

Yes position

Iran leadership change by March 13?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$999.99

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 7?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.4K

Yes position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.73K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

No 16.7% 203.59 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes 13% 263.15 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Yes 7% 1,428.57 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes 19% 1,052.63 shares
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?

Yes 45% 113.33 shares
Iran leadership change by May 31?

Yes 15% 1,533.33 shares
Iran leadership change by April 30?

Yes 12.3% 3,027.26 shares
Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Yes 17.1% 1,166.44 shares
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?

Yes 50% 400 shares
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?

Yes 23% 1,000 shares
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?

Yes 23.1% 1,000.34 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?

Yes 7% 1,428.57 shares