Polymarket Trader

Luispe

0x132bde5961c1bdd66a73b112808f62258bdebe94

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $63.3
Realized PnL: $1.2K
Win rate: 36.4%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 22
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.08K
Potential profit: $3.08K
User PnL: -$414.03

No position

Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?

Ends Aug 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $879.51
Potential profit: $879.51
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $833.33
Potential profit: $833.33
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the top AI model on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $497.62
Potential profit: $497.62
User PnL: -$44.34

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $363.64
Potential profit: $363.64
User PnL: -$200

No position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $312.5
Potential profit: $312.5
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Uruguay vs. Spain: Neither team to score first?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 8.1%
Current value: $22.28
Potential payout: $275.04
Potential profit: $252.76
Multiplier: 12.35x
User PnL: $2.28

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $31.13
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $218.88
Multiplier: 8.03x
User PnL: $11.13

No position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $145.5
Potential profit: $145.5
User PnL: -$70

Under position

Uruguay vs. Spain: Uruguay O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $9.9
Potential payout: $20.41
Potential profit: $10.51
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: -$0.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $870.34

Yes position

Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $654.43

Yes position

Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $622.96

Yes position

Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $546.48

Yes position

Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $136.56

No position

Will xAI have the top AI model on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.55

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.9

Yes position

Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.97

No position

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Over position

Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Over position

Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the top AI model on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.19

Over position

Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 5.5

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.62

Yes position

Will any country leave NATO in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$11.66

Yes position

Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$21.64

No position

Will Google have the top AI model on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$27.54

Yes position

GPT-5 announced in Q4 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$183.2

Yes position

Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$211.01

Yes position

Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$267.7

Yes position

Bitcoin above $86,000 on April 4?

Ends Apr 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$295.43

Yes position

Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$652.76

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Uruguay vs. Spain: Uruguay O/U 0.5

Under 49% 20.41 shares
Uruguay vs. Spain: Neither team to score first?

Yes 7.3% 275.04 shares
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 5.5

Over 33% 76.92 shares
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 5.5

Over 39% 76.92 shares
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 3.5

Over 79% 25.32 shares
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 2.5

Over 83.9% 11.92 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 55% 363.64 shares
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Yes 22% 90.91 shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 27% 74.07 shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 70% 71.43 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 8% 250 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?

No 12% 166.67 shares