Yes position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $51.01
- Potential payout
- $34.01K
- Potential profit
- $33.96K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$629.06
Polymarket Trader
Noupeinnouguein
0x133a983218418809df1a1fcf71e984f1cb448397
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.58K
- Realized PnL
- $4.6K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Trump out as President by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.46K
- Potential profit
- $31.46K
- User PnL
- -$179.41
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $1.19K
- Potential payout
- $12.48K
- Potential profit
- $11.3K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$788.41
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $13.26
- Potential payout
- $5.31K
- Potential profit
- $5.29K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$211.55
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.58K
- Potential profit
- $2.58K
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $60.77
- Potential payout
- $1.74K
- Potential profit
- $1.68K
- Multiplier
- 28.57x
- User PnL
- -$140.62
No position
Maduro guilty of all counts?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $1.28K
- Potential payout
- $1.54K
- Potential profit
- $262.54
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $97.82
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $13.18
- Potential payout
- $909.09
- Potential profit
- $895.91
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$6.82
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.8%
- Current value
- $115.78
- Potential payout
- $842.05
- Potential profit
- $726.27
- Multiplier
- 7.27x
- User PnL
- -$3.1
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $750
- Potential profit
- $750
- User PnL
- -$4.5
No position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $7.01
- Potential payout
- $737.69
- Potential profit
- $730.68
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$13.99
Yes position
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $293.31
- Potential payout
- $569.54
- Potential profit
- $276.23
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$103.35
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $7.43
- Potential payout
- $495.34
- Potential profit
- $487.91
- Multiplier
- 66.67x
- User PnL
- -$8.57
Yes position
Trump out as President before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $244.32
- Potential payout
- $493.57
- Potential profit
- $249.25
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$5.68
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $10.31
- Potential payout
- $412.22
- Potential profit
- $401.91
- Multiplier
- 40.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.69
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 31%
- Current value
- $117.63
- Potential payout
- $379.44
- Potential profit
- $261.81
- Multiplier
- 3.23x
- User PnL
- -$65.37
Yes position
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $50.5
- Potential payout
- $348.28
- Potential profit
- $297.78
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$49.5
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17%
- Current value
- $53.32
- Potential payout
- $313.67
- Potential profit
- $260.34
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- -$92.58
Yes position
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $57.06
- Potential payout
- $308.44
- Potential profit
- $251.38
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$42.94
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $1.78
- Potential payout
- $222.48
- Potential profit
- $220.7
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.22
Yes position
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $16.79
- Potential payout
- $186.57
- Potential profit
- $169.78
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$13.21
No position
Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $178.94
- Potential profit
- $178.94
- User PnL
- -$20
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $794.68
Yes position
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $759.75
Yes position
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $429.43
Nothing position
Nothing Ever Happens: March
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $291.66
Yes position
Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $252.05
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $242.36
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $222.57
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $183.53
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160.25
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $154.38
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132.92
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.29
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.31
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.51
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.86
Pelosi position
Pelosi vs. S&P - January
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.14
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.72
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Jensen Huang in January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.95
Yes position
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.2
Yes position
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.42
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.7
Yes position
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.73
Something position
Nothing Ever Happens: February
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.11
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $53.72
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?No 36.9% 72.15 shares
- Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes 6.7% 74.63 shares
- Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.3% 5,885.78 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 7.8% 70.9 shares
- Trump out as President before GTA VI?Yes 50.7% 493.57 shares
- Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?No 8.3% 60.24 shares
- Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?No 8.2% 12.2 shares
- Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?No 8.1% 61.46 shares
- Will Saudi Arabia be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?Yes 70.1% 142.57 shares
- Trump out as President by June 30?Yes 0.4% 250 shares
- Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?Yes 52% 4.07 shares
- Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?Yes 99.4% 273.69 shares