Polymarket Trader

fsx45

0x133ba4d001ae339bfb08631eead95c5dabe92f22

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $42.95K
Realized PnL: $105.17K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $19.65K
Potential payout: $397.06K
Potential profit: $377.41K
Multiplier: 20.20x
User PnL: $4.74K

Yes position

Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $4.46K
Potential payout: $356.94K
Potential profit: $352.48K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$167.05

Yes position

Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $7.97K
Potential payout: $325.11K
Potential profit: $317.14K
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: $1.53K

Yes position

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $8.69K
Potential payout: $200.28K
Potential profit: $191.59K
Multiplier: 23.04x
User PnL: $805.54

Yes position

Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $975
Potential payout: $150K
Potential profit: $149.02K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$74.85

Yes position

Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $1.2K
Potential payout: $126.15K
Potential profit: $124.95K
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: $521.77

Yes position

Will Al Green be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $201.2
Potential profit: $201.2
User PnL: -$34.38

Lakers position

Rockets vs. Lakers

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.6
Potential profit: $36.6
User PnL: -$14.64

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will there be a US Government shutdown?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.23K

No position

Will House and Senate pass funding bill by midnight?

Ends Dec 21, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.22K

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 19, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.57K

Yes position

Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?

Ends Aug 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.42K

No position

Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.65K

No position

Will Beyoncé perform at the DNC?

Ends Aug 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.16K

Yes position

Will Biden drop out on July 21?

Ends Jul 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.96K

Yes position

Will Pete Buttigieg be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?

Ends Aug 22, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.78K

Yes position

Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.38K

No position

Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?

Ends Aug 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.12K

Yes position

Will Biden finish his term?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.9K

No position

Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.74K

No position

Will Trump be impeached in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.63K

No position

Will Two People Exchanging Saliva win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.62K

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.51K

No position

Will Ben Wikler be the next DNC chair?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35K

No position

Will Eric Adams drop out?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.34K

No position

Elise Stefanik confirmed as UN ambassador?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.31K

No position

Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.2K

No position

Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2K

Yes position

Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.93K

Yes position

Will Ken Martin be the next DNC chair?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.75K

Yes position

Will Andy Beshear be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?

Ends Aug 22, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.72K

Yes position

Will Mark Kelly be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?

Ends Aug 22, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.68K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 0.7% 83,157.67 shares
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 1.3% 189,418.61 shares
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 1.3% 86,868.69 shares
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 1.3% 33,867.54 shares
Will United States vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Yes 20% 15.08 shares
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 1.1% 40,000 shares
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Yes 6% 590.99 shares
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Yes 7% 1,574.16 shares
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 2% 1,244 shares
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 1.2% 34,540.17 shares
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 2.2% 2,004.68 shares
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 2.3% 3,739.59 shares