Polymarket Trader

Taluse

0x13432bf7f7261865febc79e14a741bfa4697bff4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.2K
Realized PnL: $468.54
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $188.83
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $1.21K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$27.54

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $256.9
Potential payout: $1.32K
Potential profit: $1.06K
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$24.3

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 16.1%
Current value: $115.53
Potential payout: $719.81
Potential profit: $604.28
Multiplier: 6.23x
User PnL: $58.09

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 25.9%
Current value: $154.3
Potential payout: $596.89
Potential profit: $442.59
Multiplier: 3.87x
User PnL: $74.07

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $251.56
Potential payout: $297.89
Potential profit: $46.32
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $123.47

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $192.11
Potential profit: $192.11
User PnL: -$47.86

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $74.7
Potential payout: $180
Potential profit: $105.3
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $28.6

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $128.35
Potential payout: $170
Potential profit: $41.65
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $64.15

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $14.56
Potential payout: $71
Potential profit: $56.45
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$12.22

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $7.52
Potential payout: $55.74
Potential profit: $48.22
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$35.3

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $8.6
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $31.4
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$11.47

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.07
Potential profit: $30.07
User PnL: -$5.96

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.4
Potential profit: $18.4
User PnL: -$3.97

No position

USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.71
Potential profit: $16.71
User PnL: -$10.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $6.67
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.1

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46

Yes position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.49

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 93%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $31.03

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Machado by January 16?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.66

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.33

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.4%
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $19.99

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.21

No position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.98

No position

Will Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.84

No position

Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.1

No position

Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

No position

Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 92.5%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $14.6

No position

EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.4

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.21

No position

Iran leadership change by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 94.5%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $12.8

No position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.09

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 95.5%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $11.6

No position

Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.58

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.69

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 96.8%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $8.4

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 10.5%
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: $8.3

No position

Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 94.5%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $8.15

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 16% 31.25 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 16% 62.5 shares
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?

No 64% 20 shares
Ostium FDV above $300M one day after launch?

No 70% 6.07 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 12% 50 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 16% 37.5 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 16% 25 shares
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?

No 49.6% 33.45 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 16% 6.25 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 16% 31.25 shares
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?

No 49.2% 11.14 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 12% 41.67 shares