Polymarket Trader

kaiy11

0x135f01f46fccfc389e54df2d427e851719999596

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $17.06
Realized PnL: $47.44
Win rate: 61.9%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 21
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$13.8

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $15.1
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $4.9
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $1.3

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.6%
Current value: $1.96
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.05
Multiplier: 5.12x
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$4.1

Rockets position

Rockets vs. Pelicans

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$3.9

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $22

No position

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.8%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $8.25

Yes position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.65

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.4%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $7.1

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.9

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.3

No position

Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4

No position

Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.5

No position

China coup attempt before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.5%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $3.05

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.7

No position

Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.92

No position

China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.1

No position

Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 19%
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: -$0.2

No position

Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.2

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$2.73

No position

Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$4.6

No position

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$8

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$11

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 69% 20 shares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 19% 10 shares
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?

No 97.7% 100 shares
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?

No 98.6% 400 shares
Xi Jinping out before 2027?

No 92.7% 100 shares
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

No 82% 200 shares
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

No 98.1% 200 shares
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

No 98.2% 200 shares
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

No 96% 199.99 shares
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

No 95.5% 97.5 shares
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?

No 97.6% 200 shares
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?

No 97.5% 200 shares