Yes position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.3
- Potential payout
- $2.6K
- Potential profit
- $2.6K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$248.7
Polymarket Trader
GingerPhil
0x13616c1aed788c531e4d3b9eda22dc45fc5a8de1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.33K
- Realized PnL
- $5.22K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.6%
- Current value
- $1.74K
- Potential payout
- $2.19K
- Potential profit
- $445.89
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$121.22
Yes position
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $588.43
- Potential payout
- $811.63
- Potential profit
- $223.2
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $9.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $510.23
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $488.72
Yes position
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $362.4
No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $357.77
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $337.07
No position
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $318.69
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $290.22
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $274.4
No position
Will Germany win the third most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $272.09
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $238.56
No position
Will there be at least 1400 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $167.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $145.42
No position
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $138.96
Yes position
Will Tisza win at least 100 seats?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $138.08
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133.04
No position
Nine-Darter at the PDC World Darts Championship?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131.22
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129.11
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128.08
Yes position
Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $124.68
Yes position
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $121.09
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.79
No position
Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.61
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.43
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.89
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Yes 71.4% 811.63 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 60% 979.13 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?No 82.9% 644.51 shares
- Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?Yes 1.7% 4,955.64 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?No 89.6% 513.73 shares
- Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?Yes 11.4% 4,457.99 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?No 87.2% 613.81 shares
- Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?Yes 10.1% 497.64 shares
- Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?Yes 0.4% 13,398.16 shares
- Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?Yes 2.9% 345.86 shares
- Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?Yes 2.8% 1,404.2 shares
- Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?Yes 2.5% 78.44 shares