Yes position
Will Austria win on 2025-10-12?
Ends Oct 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.16
- Potential profit
- $11.16
- User PnL
- -$6.14
Polymarket Trader
0x13784b37AE4A16649413A82627Fe0586567bb0a9-1757262227625
0x13784b37ae4a16649413a82627fe0586567bb0a9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $19.85
- Win rate
- 70.8%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.69
- Potential profit
- $7.69
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Trump talk to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in September?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.61
- Potential profit
- $5.61
- User PnL
- -$4.72
Yes position
Will Napoli win on 2025-09-28?
Ends Sep 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.13
- Potential profit
- $3.13
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.12
- Potential profit
- $3.12
- User PnL
- -$2.56
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-23?
Ends Sep 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.38
Yes position
Will Napoli win on 2025-10-05?
Ends Oct 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.15
Yes position
Will Israel not raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30 ET?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.26
No position
TikTok sale announced by September 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
Yes position
Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.18
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.73
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.39
No position
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2025-10-11?
Ends Oct 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23
No position
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14
No position
EU sanctions on Israel by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will Jimmy Kimmel apologize by Friday?
Ends Sep 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
Yes position
Will AS Roma win on 2025-09-28?
Ends Sep 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.94
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Zelensky resigns in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will Trump’s approval rating be ≥45.5% on September 26?
Ends Sep 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2025-10-10?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.28
No position
Israel x Syria security agreement by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.77
No position
Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.12
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$1.18
No position
Will AC Milan win the 2025–26 Serie A league?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.65
No position
US government shutdown by October 1?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.44
Yes position
Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.86
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Trump out as President before 2027?Yes 16% 133.5 shares
- Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?No 6% 182.4 shares
- Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?No 58.1% 57.62 shares
- Will AC Milan win the 2025–26 Serie A league?No 79% 23.21 shares
- Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 63.9% 23.65 shares
- Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?No 37% 124.78 shares
- Zelensky resigns in 2025?No 98.7% 46.78 shares
- Zelensky resigns in 2025?No 98.2% 46.78 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 85% 18.27 shares
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?No 87% 34.86 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?Yes 20% 133.5 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No 94% 21.65 shares