Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $291.45
- Potential payout
- $3.43K
- Potential profit
- $3.14K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$165.88
Polymarket Trader
0x138Ff68Fd5272fFA0A0562c46835128c71896b9e-1763478846301
0x138ff68fd5272ffa0a0562c46835128c71896b9e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.98K
- Realized PnL
- $791.39
- Win rate
- 70.8%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $572.99
- Potential payout
- $626.22
- Potential profit
- $53.23
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $66.99
Yes position
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $53.13
- Potential payout
- $625
- Potential profit
- $571.88
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$46.88
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $329.75
- Potential payout
- $332.41
- Potential profit
- $2.66
- User PnL
- $129.75
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72%
- Current value
- $205.71
- Potential payout
- $285.71
- Potential profit
- $80
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- $5.71
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $214.45
- Potential payout
- $263.17
- Potential profit
- $48.71
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $14.45
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.1%
- Current value
- $178.41
- Potential payout
- $189.69
- Potential profit
- $11.29
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $78.41
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $100.46
- Potential payout
- $102.46
- Potential profit
- $2
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Current value
- $30.6
- Potential payout
- $32.64
- Potential profit
- $2.04
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $183.62
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150.88
Yes position
Will MrBeast hit 497 million subscribers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140.32
No position
Will MrBeast hit 475 Million subscribers by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.26
No position
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.29
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.75
No position
Will Russia capture Toretske by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.21
Yes position
Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.99
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.78
No position
Will Russia capture Bilytske by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.36
Yes position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 2 above $170?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.85
GIANTX position
LoL: GIANTX vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Group Stage
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.06
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.34
Yes position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.96
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 3, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.72
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 3?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 3?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 3, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.3
No position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.87
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will MrBeast hit 480 million subscribers by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.97
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No 20.9% 370.36 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 6% 830.72 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 2.4% 973.39 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?Yes 1% 850.27 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?Yes 0.8% 1,111.1 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?Yes 2.1% 460.35 shares
- Will MrBeast hit 497 million subscribers by June 30?Yes 12.5% 160.32 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?Yes 2.4% 384.61 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?Yes 4.3% 460.36 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?Yes 1.8% 1,111.11 shares
- Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 5?No 0.5% 24.94 shares
- Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 5?No 4% 24.95 shares