Polymarket Trader

lockedint

0x1393ad372bd2130cad6d120d893265c65701c5ad

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $710.26
Realized PnL: $27.58K
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $22.18
Potential payout: $44.37K
Potential profit: $44.35K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.44K

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.68K
Potential profit: $29.68K
User PnL: -$1.19K

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.25K
Potential profit: $16.25K
User PnL: -$1.19K

Yes position

Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.27K
Potential profit: $12.27K
User PnL: -$5.32K

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $429.3
Potential payout: $10.6K
Potential profit: $10.17K
Multiplier: 24.69x
User PnL: -$842.69

Yes position

Trump out as President by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $3.96
Potential payout: $7.92K
Potential profit: $7.92K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$96.04

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $99.93
Potential payout: $5.12K
Potential profit: $5.02K
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$300.07

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $3.24
Potential payout: $2.16K
Potential profit: $2.16K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$321.76

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.81
Potential payout: $1.62K
Potential profit: $1.62K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$23.19

Yes position

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $61.74
Potential payout: $1.42K
Potential profit: $1.36K
Multiplier: 23.04x
User PnL: -$48.26

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.29K
Potential profit: $1.29K
User PnL: -$577

Rockets position

NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $86.36
Potential payout: $909.09
Potential profit: $822.73
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$13.64

Yes position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $2.73
Potential payout: $454.55
Potential profit: $451.82
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$97.27

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $376.88
Potential profit: $376.88
User PnL: -$75

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.84K

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.07K

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.13K

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.41K

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.24K

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.24K

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.16K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07K

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $734.16

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $609.8

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $541.85

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $423.18

Yes position

Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $180.98

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $173.71

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $93.6

Knicks position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.26

No position

Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.55

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.1

Yes position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$11.96

Yes position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$42.24

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$65.79

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: -$85.63

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Multiplier: 23.53x
User PnL: -$135.2

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$143.98

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

No 44.7% 1,291.17 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

Yes 12% 600 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

Yes 12% 8,333.33 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

Yes 12% 1,666.67 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?

Yes 7.8% 5,124.51 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Yes 4.4% 687.64 shares
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 19.9% 376.88 shares
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?

Yes 2.5% 2,161.48 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Yes 7.5% 2,674.49 shares
Spurs vs. Knicks

Knicks 41% 434.78 shares
Spurs vs. Knicks

Knicks 23% 434.78 shares
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Yes 5.9% 501.68 shares