Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $5.42K
- Potential payout
- $40.13K
- Potential profit
- $34.71K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$17.92K
Polymarket Trader
gatonekki
0x1398c3cd32fc6ac692cfe95b1f9ac94ab881a875
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $22.11K
- Realized PnL
- $50.86K
- Win rate
- 91.7%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $341.91
- Potential payout
- $32.56K
- Potential profit
- $32.22K
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$158.06
Khamzat Chimaev position
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.35K
- Potential profit
- $12.35K
- User PnL
- -$10K
No position
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $6.22K
- Potential payout
- $7.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.27K
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $3.2K
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.95K
- Potential payout
- $5.95K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $945.25
No position
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $2.09K
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $412.5
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $1.04K
No position
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $1.03K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $970
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$60
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.97K
- Potential profit
- $1.97K
- User PnL
- -$1.3K
No position
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $255
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $745
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 70.8%
- Current value
- $664.79
- Potential payout
- $938.97
- Potential profit
- $274.18
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- $464.79
No position
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $147.2
- Potential payout
- $165.4
- Potential profit
- $18.19
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $34.73
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.7K
No position
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.52K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.29K
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.9K
No position
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.75K
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.8K
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.75K
Yes position
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.32K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.95K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.93K
No position
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55K
No position
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14K
No position
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
No position
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02K
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1K
Yes position
Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $886.9
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $795.96
No position
Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $344.03
Yes position
Will Zcash flip Monero by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $152.79
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70
No position
Hyperswap FDV above $40M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.8
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.32
Yes position
Tulsi Gabbard out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$17.34
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$75
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 1.5% 32,563.04 shares
- UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)Khamzat Chimaev 81% 12,345.68 shares
- US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes 99.7% 26,876.67 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 63.9% 332.69 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 62.5% 7,203.34 shares
- US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes 94% 2,986 shares
- US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes 94% 3,318 shares
- US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes 94% 3,686 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 57% 2,000 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?Yes 66% 982.68 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?Yes 66% 986.4 shares
- US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes 70% 759.93 shares