Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$19.4
Polymarket Trader
Aliciak78
0x13a0ea8a6ea04049f076184f99106ee7536aada6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $62.49
- Realized PnL
- $13.41
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $19
- User PnL
- -$18.43
No position
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $16.97
- Potential payout
- $17
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $15.98
- Potential payout
- $16
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $15.99
- Potential payout
- $15.99
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will "Roommates" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $13.54
- Potential payout
- $13.54
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Will the Japan Innovation Party win between 35 and 39 seats in the 2026 Japanese snap general election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$9.5
No position
Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$9.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 1?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$9.2
No position
Will "Scream 7" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 8.5m and 9m?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $8
- User PnL
- -$7.68
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 2?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 42-43°F on February 5?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on March 1?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.79
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 49 and 50 million views on day 5?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.76
Yes position
Will GALBOT have robot dancers at the 2026 Spring Festival Gala?
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -3°C or below on February 13?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on February 18?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Will "The Lincoln Lawyer: Season 4" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will "XO, Kitty: Season 3" be the top global Netflix show this week?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
No position
Will "Michael" be the highest grossing movie of this weekend?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 32 and 34 million views on day 3?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 34 and 36 million views on day 3?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 71 million views on day 4?
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C or higher on March 17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on February 22?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 0°C on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Will "Obsession" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
Yes position
Will Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen win UMK 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Will Kelvin Buck be the Democratic Nominee for MS-01?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
Yes position
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on February 22?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?No 99.9% 17 shares
- Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?No 99.9% 16 shares
- Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?Yes 98% 20 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of June 15 2026?No 99.9% 30 shares
- Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?No 99.5% 20 shares
- Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?No 98.4% 20 shares
- Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026?No 99% 17 shares
- Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?No 99% 18 shares
- Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?No 97% 18 shares
- Will Z.ai have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?No 99.9% 32.03 shares
- Iran leadership change by May 31?No 99% 19 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?Yes 97% 20 shares