hamed.gh

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $764.71
Potential profit: $764.71
User PnL: -$13

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $634.81
Potential profit: $634.81
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $353.75
Potential profit: $353.75
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $272.99
Potential profit: $272.99
User PnL: -$16

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $6.51
Potential payout: $236.84
Potential profit: $230.33
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: -$2.49

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $18.6
Potential payout: $218.83
Potential profit: $200.23
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$27.4

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $210.53
Potential profit: $210.53
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $196.64
Potential profit: $196.64
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in June?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $185.19
Potential profit: $185.19
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.43
Potential payout: $173.93
Potential profit: $173.5
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$1.57

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $62,500 in June?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $156.25
Potential profit: $156.25
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $136.31
Potential profit: $136.31
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $131.56
Potential profit: $131.56
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $8.08
Potential payout: $124.29
Potential profit: $116.21
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$3.92

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 20.1%
Current value: $22.84
Potential payout: $113.92
Potential profit: $91.08
Multiplier: 4.99x
User PnL: $13.84

Yes position

Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $106.94
Potential profit: $106.94
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $106.57
Potential profit: $106.57
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $1.73
Potential payout: $104.55
Potential profit: $102.83
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$3.27

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $15.49
Potential payout: $97.09
Potential profit: $81.6
Multiplier: 6.27x
User PnL: $5.49

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.91
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $12.52
Potential payout: $86.36
Potential profit: $73.84
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $3.52

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $213.57

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 January 26-1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.08

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.56

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.21

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 January 26-1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.33

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.6

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.33

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.49

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.99

Yes position

Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.66

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.26

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.87

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.85

Yes position

Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.28

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 January 26-1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.38

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 January 19-25?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 January 26-1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.18

No position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.97

Yes position

Will Israel or the US target Tehran?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.52

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.08

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 January 26-1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.91

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.23

Yes position

Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?