Polymarket Trader

Mcgonca98

0x13a731e4d090b40e6b419855a166ce4019fcc838

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $40.63
Realized PnL: $849.86
Win rate: 71.4%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 7
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $40.63
Potential payout: $6.25K
Potential profit: $6.21K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$9.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.1K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $1.08K
User PnL: -$35

Yes position

Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $1.06K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $763.74
Potential profit: $763.74
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $708.08
Potential profit: $708.08
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $686.08
Potential profit: $686.08
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will "Despicable Me" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (January 6, 2026)

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $505.1
Potential profit: $505.1
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Trump say "Bibi" or "Netanyahu" during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Trump say "Fake News" during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will "Despicable Me 2" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (January 6, 2026)

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $375.94
Potential profit: $375.94
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $356.82
Potential profit: $356.82
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $343.36
Potential profit: $343.36
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $303.03
Potential profit: $303.03
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $225.97
Potential profit: $225.97
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will André Ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $164.83
Potential profit: $164.83
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $152.21
Potential profit: $152.21
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will BNY (BK) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will "The Grinch" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (January 6, 2026)

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $138.89
Potential profit: $138.89
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $133.33
Potential profit: $133.33
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will SC Braga win on 2026-05-07?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $131.58
Potential profit: $131.58
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $117.16
Potential profit: $117.16
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $312.58

Yes position

Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $236.66

Yes position

Will Trump say "Nobel" or "Peace Prize" during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $212.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.52

No position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.89

Yes position

Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.29

No position

Nicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 95m?

Yes 23% 21.74 shares
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 85m?

Yes 14% 71.43 shares
Will United States win on 2026-07-06? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? AND Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?

12% 105.5 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?

Yes 24% 62.5 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?

Yes 32% 46.88 shares
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score AND Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?

21.9% 44.67 shares
Spread: France (-2.5) AND Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?

20.5% 71.46 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

No 15% 26.93 shares
Spread: Argentina (-2.5) AND Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?

30.3% 51.73 shares
Spread: Spain (-2.5) AND Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) AND Spread: Portugal (-1.5)

2.2% 220.45 shares
Spread: Spain (-1.5) AND Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?

29.6% 66.15 shares
Spread: United States (-1.5) AND Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?

11.8% 57.71 shares