Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $31.36
- Potential payout
- $90.93
- Potential profit
- $59.57
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- $11.36
Polymarket Trader
YellowBag
0x13bd1f35ba1edddfa76a3d22adcdd1a1a06ca84f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $46.29
- Realized PnL
- $26.31
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $4.18
- Potential payout
- $78.13
- Potential profit
- $73.95
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- -$0.82
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $10.26
- Potential payout
- $76
- Potential profit
- $65.74
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $5.26
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.49
- Potential payout
- $53.94
- Potential profit
- $53.46
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- -$13.12
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will April 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.41
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.18
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.53
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.09
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.08
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $2.36
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.06
No position
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.96
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.93
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.33
No position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 76%
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$0.36
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.44
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$0.53
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 21?Yes 6.6% 76 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 21?Yes 22% 45.45 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 21?Yes 22% 45.48 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6.4% 78.13 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?Yes 21% 52.95 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No 94.4% 56.36 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?Yes 23% 52.96 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 94.9% 13.46 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 25.2% 53.94 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 77.4% 13.46 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No 96% 15.72 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No 94% 12.79 shares