Yes position
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$2.2
Polymarket Trader
kitethefly
0x13c5c91c0f4859bcb7056ce65941a38f63b1bd82
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0.04
- Realized PnL
- $19.11
- Win rate
- 95.8%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.04
- Potential payout
- $82
- Potential profit
- $81.96
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.11
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.21
No position
Iran leadership change by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.96
No position
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.46
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
No position
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Will Binance be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Backpack FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by February 28?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Backpack FDV above $4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?Yes 94.4% 300 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No 97.7% 200 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No 97.7% 1,000 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 99.6% 3,500 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No 96.1% 14 shares
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?No 95.4% 11 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 83% 11 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?No 99.7% 10 shares
- Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes 1.1% 200 shares
- Backpack FDV above $4B one day after launch?No 99.1% 2.54 shares
- Backpack FDV above $4B one day after launch?No 99.1% 2.54 shares
- Backpack FDV above $4B one day after launch?No 99.1% 2.54 shares