No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $94.45
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $5.55
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $3.85
Polymarket Trader
huojin
@quinn92418
0x13d23714f05dc47b64a115f705d6f882e8a66480
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $94.45
- Realized PnL
- $9.96
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.09
Y
Yes position
Tread FDV above $80M one day after launch
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- $3.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C or higher on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will Sprinklr (CXM) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 17°C on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C or higher on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will Marcello Comanducci win the 2026 Arezzo mayoral election?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Ernesto Bello win the 2026 Castrovillari mayoral election?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Nicoletta Romano win the 2026 Casalnuovo Di Napoli mayoral election?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Luca Pozzobon win the 2026 Castelfranco Veneto mayoral election?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.2
No position
Will Raffaele Giordano win the 2026 Cava De' Tirreni mayoral election?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.2
No position
Will Baltazar Fedalizo advance from the CA-37 primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?No 97.2% 300 shares
- Will Luca Pozzobon win the 2026 Castelfranco Veneto mayoral election?Yes 50% 20 shares
- Will Raffaele Giordano win the 2026 Cava De' Tirreni mayoral election?No 22% 20 shares
- Will Ernesto Bello win the 2026 Castrovillari mayoral election?No 72% 4.53 shares
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?No 82% 13.09 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?No 87% 8 shares
- Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?Yes 59% 50 shares
- Will Baltazar Fedalizo advance from the CA-37 primary election?No 41% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on May 22?No 99.8% 108.69 shares
- Will LaMonica McIver be the Democratic nominee for NJ-10?No 15% 20 shares
- Will Sprinklr (CXM) beat quarterly earnings?No 12.5% 14 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C or higher on May 21?No 99.1% 105 shares