Polymarket Trader

chohakune

0x13da726ca8305d66a57860baa411e049e6e740b8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $12.98
Realized PnL: $2.29
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 2
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.39
Potential payout: $34
Potential profit: $33.61
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$0.61

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.3
Potential profit: $30.3
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $27.78
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $17.54
Potential profit: $17.04
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.9
Potential profit: $8.9
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will USD/JPY hit 175 (High) in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $0.31
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $5.94
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: -$0.69

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.35
Potential profit: $4.35
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.94
Potential profit: $2.94
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $1.64
Potential payout: $2.58
Potential profit: $0.94
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: -$0.36

Yes position

Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $0.46
Potential payout: $2.44
Potential profit: $1.98
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: -$0.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.33
Potential profit: $2.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $1.26
Potential payout: $2.22
Potential profit: $0.97
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $0.26

No position

Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $0.99
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $1.01
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.72
Potential payout: $1.72
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.72

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.67
Potential profit: $1.67
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 52%
Current value: $0.79
Potential payout: $1.52
Potential profit: $0.73
Multiplier: 1.92x
User PnL: -$0.21

No position

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $0.92
Potential payout: $1.43
Potential profit: $0.51
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $0.99
Potential payout: $1.19
Potential profit: $0.2
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $1.02
Potential payout: $1.15
Potential profit: $0.13
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $0.49
Potential payout: $1.14
Potential profit: $0.64
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$0.51

No position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $0.99
Potential payout: $1.11
Potential profit: $0.12
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$0.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.94

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 16.5% 30.3 shares
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?

No 66% 1.52 shares
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?

No 77% 1.3 shares
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?

Yes 58% 1.72 shares
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

No 70% 1.43 shares
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

No 90% 1.11 shares
Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30?

Yes 87% 1.15 shares
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?

No 50% 2 shares
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?

No 78% 1.28 shares
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?

Yes 88% 1.14 shares
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?

Yes 41% 2.44 shares
Is Earth flat?

No 98.2% 1.02 shares