Polymarket Trader

0x13DB4487aB6FbB36Fe3CAeD4E251BbfB619F3E4d-1769120254185

0x13db4487ab6fbb36fe3caed4e251bbfb619f3e4d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $178.41
Realized PnL: -$4.24
Win rate: 45.5%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 11
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $6.9
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $1.06K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$23.09

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $28.9
Potential payout: $731.71
Potential profit: $702.8
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$1.1

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.2%
Current value: $34.81
Potential payout: $566.04
Potential profit: $531.23
Multiplier: 16.26x
User PnL: $4.81

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $40.99
Potential payout: $348.84
Potential profit: $307.85
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $10.99

Yes position

Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.9%
Current value: $8.08
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $158.58
Multiplier: 20.62x
User PnL: -$21.92

Under position

Red Star FC vs. SC Bastia: O/U 1.5

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86.49
Potential profit: $86.49
User PnL: -$29.41

Under position

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.57
Potential profit: $65.57
User PnL: -$29.5

No position

Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $29.59
Potential payout: $58.59
Potential profit: $29
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$0.41

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $29.13
Potential payout: $57.69
Potential profit: $28.56
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$0.87

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Hanwha Life Esports Challengers position

LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.14

Under position

San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.82

Yes position

Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.91

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.14

No position

Will Liverpool finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

No position

AWS service disrupted by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.03

Under position

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: -$6.56

HANJIN BRION position

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$30

Maple Leafs position

Maple Leafs vs. Islanders

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$30

Hanwha Life Esports Challengers position

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$30

Under position

ENPPI vs. Ceramica Cleopatra Club: O/U 1.5

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$30

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4.1% 731.71 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.3% 566.04 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.6% 348.84 shares
Will Liverpool finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?

No 94% 33.33 shares
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Yes 2.8% 1,062.27 shares
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Yes 18% 166.67 shares
AWS service disrupted by April 30?

No 99.6% 17.19 shares
AWS service disrupted by April 30?

No 99.8% 17.22 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Yes 83% 36.14 shares
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?

Yes 51.3% 75.91 shares
San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5

Under 51% 57.96 shares
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5

Under 45% 65.57 shares