Polymarket Trader

0x14050ED76C1A3beC25CB97Cc623ceb3899D79dB0-1771976677997

0x14050ed76c1a3bec25cb97cc623ceb3899d79db0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $130.87K
Realized PnL: $6.65K
Win rate: 61.5%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 13
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.6%
Current value: $9.33K
Potential payout: $60K
Potential profit: $50.67K
Multiplier: 6.43x
User PnL: -$20.67K

No position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $50.67K
Potential payout: $60K
Potential profit: $9.33K
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $20.67K

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $14.7K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $5.3K
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: -$514.4

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 83%
Current value: $14.11K
Potential payout: $17K
Potential profit: $2.89K
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$80.56

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $16.31K
Potential payout: $17K
Potential profit: $688.49
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $850.31

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $10.06K
Potential payout: $11K
Potential profit: $935
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $55

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $9.93K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $70
User PnL: $94.79

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 20.2%
Current value: $1.21K
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $4.79K
Multiplier: 4.95x
User PnL: -$1.38K

No position

AI bubble burst in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79.6%
Current value: $2.78K
Potential payout: $3.5K
Potential profit: $715.75
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $352.81

Yes position

Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $636.7
Potential payout: $1.29K
Potential profit: $649.56
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $1.29

Yes position

Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 53%
Current value: $437.83
Potential payout: $826.1
Potential profit: $388.27
Multiplier: 1.89x
User PnL: -$5.25

No position

Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $410.22
Potential payout: $420.53
Potential profit: $10.3
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $39.44

No position

Sam Altman in jail by June 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $191.55
Potential payout: $193.68
Potential profit: $2.13
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $5.23

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $700 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $76.14
Potential payout: $83.67
Potential profit: $7.53
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $7.87

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Ethereum flipped in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.61K

Yes position

Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.53

No position

Will any other model have the best AI model on May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.32

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $9.46

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.07

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
User PnL: $3

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.73

No position

Will a dozen eggs cost <$1.75 in April?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.55

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 58.5%
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 41.5%
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will claude-opus-4-7-thinking have the best AI model on May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.01

No position

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.7%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$9

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?

Yes 49.4% 1,286.26 shares
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?

Yes 55% 27.5 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?

No 4% 403.75 shares
Ethereum flipped in 2026?

Yes 92% 40.29 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?

No 9% 205 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?

No 10% 19 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?

No 7% 15 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?

No 5% 687.19 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?

No 29% 15.78 shares
Ethereum flipped in 2026?

Yes 60% 15 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?

No 29% 45.24 shares
Ethereum flipped in 2026?

Yes 58% 23.8 shares