No position
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 36%
- Current value
- $8.47
- Potential payout
- $23.52
- Potential profit
- $15.05
- Multiplier
- 2.78x
- User PnL
- -$11.52
Polymarket Trader
possward
@possward
0x140f24efb398abda79f68a45e80c7cb2ff160b2e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $136.6
- Realized PnL
- $98.93
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 22
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $20.56
- Potential payout
- $22.47
- Potential profit
- $1.91
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $22.13
- Potential payout
- $22.47
- Potential profit
- $0.34
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $2.13
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92.9%
- Current value
- $20.23
- Potential payout
- $21.79
- Potential profit
- $1.56
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $11.74
- Potential payout
- $14.23
- Potential profit
- $2.49
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $1.74
Yes position
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.04
- Potential payout
- $11.86
- Potential profit
- $11.82
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$4.96
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.63
- Potential profit
- $11.63
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
US military draft authorized in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $10.87
- Potential payout
- $11.63
- Potential profit
- $0.76
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.87
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.24
- Potential profit
- $11.24
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $10.85
- Potential payout
- $10.98
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.86
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $10.94
- Potential payout
- $10.98
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.98
- Potential profit
- $10.98
- User PnL
- -$9.99
No position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.98
- Potential profit
- $10.98
- User PnL
- -$9.99
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C or below on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.98
- Potential profit
- $10.98
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.98
- Potential profit
- $10.98
- User PnL
- -$9.99
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.98
- Potential profit
- $10.98
- User PnL
- -$9.99
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.98
- Potential profit
- $10.98
- User PnL
- -$9.99
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.97
- Potential profit
- $10.97
- User PnL
- -$9.98
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C or below on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.97
- Potential profit
- $10.97
- User PnL
- -$9.98
No position
Human moon landing in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Current value
- $10.28
- Potential payout
- $10.59
- Potential profit
- $0.32
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $10.45
- Potential payout
- $10.5
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $8.47
- Potential profit
- $8.43
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$4.95
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.65
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.16
No position
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.73
No position
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.61
NJIT Highlanders position
NJIT Highlanders vs. New Hampshire Wildcats
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.26
Duke Blue Devils position
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devils
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.1
Central Connecticut State Blue Devils position
Le Moyne Dolphins vs. Central Connecticut State Blue Devils
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.81
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.7
No position
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.64
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.62
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.6
No position
Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.59
Yes position
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.5
No position
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.47
Alcorn State Braves position
Alcorn State Braves vs. Florida A&M Rattlers
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.45
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C or higher on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.34
No position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C or higher on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.07
Green Bay Phoenix position
Green Bay Phoenix vs. Robert Morris Colonials
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.06
The Citadel Bulldogs position
Furman Paladins vs. The Citadel Bulldogs
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.99
No position
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.99
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C or below on June 20?Yes 0.4% 10.98 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 18?No 91% 10.98 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 17?No 90% 3.41 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on June 16?No 96% 11.24 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12?No 86% 11.63 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on June 11?No 99.4% 10.99 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on June 9?No 90.8% 11 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on June 6?No 81% 1.54 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on June 4?No 85% 11.77 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C or below on June 3?No 90.1% 5.55 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 2?No 63% 7.93 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on June 2?No 99.7% 5.49 shares