Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $5.81
- Potential payout
- $7.22
- Potential profit
- $1.41
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$0.33
Polymarket Trader
byerjulie
0x140fc779a9cdfb38d1564528652af17ea0901fc5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $46.8
- Realized PnL
- $26.94
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.61
- Potential profit
- $5.61
- User PnL
- -$4.32
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.34
- Potential profit
- $5.34
- User PnL
- -$3.9
No position
GTA VI released before June 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.12
- Potential payout
- $5.12
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $5.01
- Potential payout
- $5.11
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Andrew Tate attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.3%
- Current value
- $4.31
- Potential payout
- $5.06
- Potential profit
- $0.75
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.69
Yes position
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $3.8
- Potential payout
- $4.5
- Potential profit
- $0.7
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.4%
- Current value
- $4.29
- Potential payout
- $4.49
- Potential profit
- $0.21
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $4.3
- Potential payout
- $4.37
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $4.14
- Potential payout
- $4.33
- Potential profit
- $0.19
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $3.63
- Potential payout
- $3.63
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $2.89
- Potential payout
- $2.9
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $2.16
- Potential payout
- $2.25
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $1.31
- Potential payout
- $1.43
- Potential profit
- $0.12
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 19?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.66
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.35
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.72
Yes position
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 5 be between 60 and 70?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31
Yes position
Will the team that wins the 2025-26 Super Bowl play in the NFC West?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.84
No position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
No position
US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
Yes position
Will Hyperliquid reach $46 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
Yes position
Will February 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
Will NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Khamenei seen in public by March 4?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
US confirms Havana Syndrome–causing device by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 March 16-22?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by February 28?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?No 89% 1.16 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No 91.4% 2.25 shares
- Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?No 89% 4.49 shares
- US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?No 91.4% 1.26 shares
- US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?No 90.7% 1.2 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in April?No 97% 5.82 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?No 94% 4.97 shares
- Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 98.4% 4.37 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down on April 12?Down 88% 4.51 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 97.9% 5.11 shares
- Will Andrew Tate attend Taylor Swift's wedding?No 98.8% 5.06 shares
- US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?No 88% 6.68 shares