Polymarket Trader

Provo44

0x1414098d81d1e0cb2776ebf426a4bc5de2984047

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.42K
Realized PnL: $232.57
Win rate: 78.6%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 14
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $1.07K
Potential payout: $52.02K
Potential profit: $50.95K
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$433.61

Georgia Bulldogs position

Saint Louis Billikens vs. Georgia Bulldogs

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $15K
User PnL: -$39.97

Yes position

Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.04K
Potential profit: $5.04K
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $102.71
Potential payout: $3.16K
Potential profit: $3.06K
Multiplier: 30.77x
User PnL: -$7.29

Yes position

Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $22.17
Potential payout: $2.11K
Potential profit: $2.09K
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$2.83

Yes position

Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $20.77
Potential payout: $1.54K
Potential profit: $1.52K
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: $0.77

No position

Will Trump visit China by May 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$5

No position

Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $909.09
Potential profit: $909.09
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $10.74
Potential payout: $740.74
Potential profit: $730
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$9.26

No position

Will Trump visit China by May 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $737.37
Potential profit: $737.37
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $101.09
Potential payout: $729.93
Potential profit: $628.83
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: $1.1

Yes position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?

Ends Jun 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $651.58
Potential profit: $651.58
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?

Ends May 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $588.24
Potential profit: $588.24
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $42.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $457.5
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$57.5

Yes position

US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $455.67
Potential profit: $455.67
User PnL: -$10

High Point Panthers position

High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $382.99
Potential profit: $382.99
User PnL: -$59.87

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $46.3
Potential payout: $370.37
Potential profit: $324.07
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$53.7

VCU Rams position

VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illini

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $363.01
Potential profit: $363.01
User PnL: -$39.93

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $150K in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $230.77
Potential profit: $230.77
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $1.8
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $198.2
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$18.2

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.64
Potential payout: $181.82
Potential profit: $181.18
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$19.36

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $174.39
Potential profit: $174.39
User PnL: -$50

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $160
Potential profit: $160
User PnL: -$20

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Negative GDP growth in Q2 2025?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $142.22

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.02

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.28

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.78

No position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.62

No position

Will Kanye launch a coin in February?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.73

No position

US recession in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.26

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.2%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $6.33

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.75

No position

Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

No position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.29

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 by February 28, 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$54.7

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 14.7% 34.01 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.1% 32.26 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.5% 2,857.14 shares
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 1.3% 1,538.46 shares
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes 0.6% 216.96 shares
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 8% 125 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.7% 729.93 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.7% 740.74 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.3% 303.03 shares
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 4% 5,044.15 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

No 26.2% 76.48 shares
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 3.2% 31,414.38 shares