No position
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37
- Potential profit
- $37
- User PnL
- -$15.17
Polymarket Trader
0x1414...8753
0x1414b9a5fd011a58818aca9ab001ce33a2cc8753
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $37.2
- Realized PnL
- -$4.69
- Win rate
- 54.2%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Trump declares election interference national emergency?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $17.84
- Potential payout
- $29
- Potential profit
- $11.17
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- -$2.17
No position
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $12.22
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $2.78
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Current value
- $0.57
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $10.43
- Multiplier
- 19.42x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
No position
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73%
- Current value
- $6.57
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $2.43
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- $0.99
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $14.75
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.86
No position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- $6.19
No position
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $4
No position
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.57
No position
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.50x
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- -$4.43
No position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.86
Yes position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- -$9.9
No position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.9%
- Multiplier
- 6.73x
- User PnL
- -$16.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?No 90% 6 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Yes 14% 15 shares
- Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?No 94.7% 5 shares
- Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?No 82% 15 shares
- Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 18% 8 shares
- Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Yes 9.2% 11 shares
- Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?No 87% 12 shares
- Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?No 89.1% 22 shares
- Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?No 92% 5 shares
- Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?Yes 94.4% 10 shares
- Modi out by December 31, 2026?No 90.9% 5 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?No 24.8% 16 shares