kaliom

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $0.57
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.43
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.76

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets in July 2026?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.85
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0.24

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.76

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in July 2026?

Implied probability: 9.3%
Current value: $1.85
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.15
Multiplier: 10.81x
User PnL: $1.46

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.76

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.17
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.83
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$1.83

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in July 2026?

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $1.13
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.87
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: $0.74

Yes position

Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $0.43
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.57
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets in July 2026?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.94
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$0.33

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $4.7
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $15.3
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$5.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.76

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.76

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.76

Yes position

Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $0.59
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.41
Multiplier: 33.90x
User PnL: $0.34

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$0.77

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$0.77

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $7.6
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $12.4
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: $5.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in July 2026?

Implied probability: 7.9%
Current value: $1.57
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.43
Multiplier: 12.74x
User PnL: $1.18

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.76

Yes position

Will Florian Wirtz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.97
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.22

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.76

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 21.1%
Current value: $4.21
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $15.79
Multiplier: 4.75x
User PnL: $3.96

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $36.09

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.78

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.82

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $22.37

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.16

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.23

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $18.12

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 40-45 million views on day 1?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.73

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 43.5%
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $17.18

Yes position

Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.28

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.71

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.34

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.08

No position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 76.5%
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $9.75

No position

Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in July 2026?