Polymarket Trader

Alienbet

0x1425ed8bc06f647cace4b37f38211b5a5e6189b0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $687.62
Realized PnL: $2.82K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Trump out as President by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.71K
Potential profit: $7.71K
User PnL: -$149.99

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $62.31
Potential payout: $2.65K
Potential profit: $2.59K
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$170.64

Yes position

Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.42K
Potential profit: $1.42K
User PnL: -$90

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $78
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.12K
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$126

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $61.17
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $1K
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$38.83

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17.2%
Current value: $168.97
Potential payout: $985.22
Potential profit: $816.26
Multiplier: 5.83x
User PnL: -$31.03

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $32.53
Potential payout: $918.97
Potential profit: $886.44
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: -$52.47

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.8%
Current value: $284.65
Potential payout: $869.15
Potential profit: $584.51
Multiplier: 3.05x
User PnL: $74.65

Yes position

Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $644.72
Potential profit: $644.72
User PnL: -$110

Yes position

Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $588.24
Potential profit: $588.24
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s French Open?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $232.56
Potential profit: $232.56
User PnL: -$100

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $428.22

Yes position

Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $378.71

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $245.34

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $227.75

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.9%
Multiplier: 20.62x
User PnL: $190.42

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $180.71

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $165.81

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150.13

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $127.49

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.92

No position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.43

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.37

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.17

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.85

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.28

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.58

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.46

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.04

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $24.37

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.44

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.45

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.28

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.2% 5,555.55 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.8% 5,555.56 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 34.7% 28.82 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 20.3% 985.22 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 23.8% 840.34 shares
Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Yes 7.5% 938.57 shares
Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Yes 10.2% 196.08 shares
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Yes 19.3% 259.07 shares
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Yes 41.2% 728.22 shares
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Yes 19.3% 259.07 shares
Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Yes 10.2% 392.16 shares
Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Yes 4.2% 477.24 shares