Polymarket Trader

Rtrtrtrt

0x1428a464b97b9ffbce984b4d02dec30cae0c3905

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $21.3K
Realized PnL: $3.78K
Win rate: 57.1%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 21
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $13.5K
Potential payout: $14.59K
Potential profit: $1.09K
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $1.01K

No position

US x China Military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $2.7K
Potential payout: $2.89K
Potential profit: $187.54
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $48.02

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $2.11K
Potential payout: $2.4K
Potential profit: $288
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $62

No position

Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.9%
Current value: $2.26K
Potential payout: $2.34K
Potential profit: $72.4
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $59.26

Yes position

Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $224.53
Potential payout: $1.28K
Potential profit: $1.06K
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$96.22

No position

Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 88.3%
Current value: $486.71
Potential payout: $551.2
Potential profit: $64.49
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $12.18

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $24.75
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $5.25
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: -$0.15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $27.78
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.91K

No position

Will China unban Bitcoin by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1K

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.29

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.22

No position

Will Xi Jinping attend presidential inauguration?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.08

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.2

No position

Will Biden pardon Edward Snowden?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.51

No position

Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.19

No position

Will China unban Bitcoin in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.84

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?

Ends Dec 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.43

No position

Fed rate hike in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

No position

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 12%
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$16.57

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?

Ends Dec 18, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$18.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$145

Yes position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$149.14

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

No 85.6% 251.2 shares
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 19% 109.76 shares
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 19% 70.31 shares
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 83% 30 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET

Up 54% 46.3 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET

Up 51% 49.02 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

Up 59% 42.37 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

Up 91% 27.47 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

Up 88% 28.41 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

Up 76% 32.89 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

Up 72% 6.94 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

Up 40% 62.5 shares