Polymarket Trader

Padre-Alpha

0x1430867a342777aa4d63c44c21f5f0dc62f117b1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $82.35
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 95.7%
Current value: $13.94
Potential payout: $14.57
Potential profit: $0.63
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.68

No position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.74
Potential profit: $11.74
User PnL: -$10.68

No position

Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.59
Potential profit: $11.59
User PnL: -$10.55

No position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 88.9%
Current value: $10.3
Potential payout: $11.59
Potential profit: $1.29
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$0.2

No position

China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $10.16
Potential payout: $10.87
Potential profit: $0.71
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.26

No position

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.73
Potential profit: $9.73
User PnL: -$8.88

No position

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $8.17
Potential payout: $8.56
Potential profit: $0.39
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.32

No position

Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $8.03
Potential payout: $8.03
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.7

No position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 93.6%
Current value: $7.34
Potential payout: $7.84
Potential profit: $0.51
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Will Leeds be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $6.7
Potential payout: $6.7
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.51

No position

Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.14
Potential payout: $5.14
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.41

No position

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $4.7
Potential payout: $4.7
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.33

No position

Will CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $4.01
Potential payout: $4.01
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.32

No position

Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.78
Potential payout: $2.78
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.18

No position

Will Sunderland be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.08
Potential payout: $1.08
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?

No 91% 3.03 shares
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?

No 91% 2.97 shares
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?

No 92% 2.8 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 91.4% 2.66 shares
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?

No 91.4% 2.51 shares
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No 90.8% 2.98 shares
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

No 91% 2.85 shares
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

No 91% 2.42 shares
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?

No 91% 2.38 shares
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

No 91% 3.02 shares
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

No 91% 2.41 shares
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?

No 92% 2.34 shares