Polymarket Trader

frozenriver

@xyzna42

0x143732d8a06bd1596c694f7873cd493be80aacfe

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $96.36K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 6PM ET

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $202.56K
Potential profit: $202.56K
User PnL: -$334.22

Yes position

Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $112K
Potential profit: $112K
User PnL: -$329.95

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.5K
Potential profit: $111.5K
User PnL: -$637.67

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110K
Potential profit: $110K
User PnL: -$199.65

No position

Will 1+ world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $101K
Potential profit: $101K
User PnL: -$101

Yes position

Solana above $260 on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $96.77K
Potential profit: $96.77K
User PnL: -$1.01K

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $82.1K
Potential profit: $82.1K
User PnL: -$535.31

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $81K
Potential profit: $81K
User PnL: -$610.43

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 11PM ET

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $72.42K
Potential profit: $72.42K
User PnL: -$73.86

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53.38K
Potential profit: $53.38K
User PnL: -$457.91

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 10?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $50K
User PnL: -$63.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 6AM ET

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.71K
Potential profit: $46.71K
User PnL: -$875.15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 10PM ET

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.51K
Potential profit: $43.51K
User PnL: -$54.44

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 7PM ET

Ends Dec 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42K
Potential profit: $42K
User PnL: -$430

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41K
Potential profit: $41K
User PnL: -$402.78

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7PM ET

Ends Nov 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.04K
Potential profit: $39.04K
User PnL: -$391.57

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on October 11?

Ends Oct 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.71K
Potential profit: $38.71K
User PnL: -$1.67K

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.05K
Potential profit: $38.05K
User PnL: -$104.93

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 6PM ET

Ends Nov 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35K
Potential profit: $35K
User PnL: -$479.11

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10AM ET

Ends Oct 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34K
Potential profit: $34K
User PnL: -$379.81

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10PM ET

Ends Oct 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.47K
Potential profit: $33.47K
User PnL: -$339.41

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 6AM ET

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.74K
Potential profit: $32.74K
User PnL: -$420.94

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.63K
Potential profit: $32.63K
User PnL: -$163.17

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3PM ET

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.22K
Potential profit: $31.22K
User PnL: -$31.22

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

Ends Oct 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.16K

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down on November 5?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.28K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3AM ET

Ends Oct 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.4K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET

Ends Oct 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.79K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 10PM ET

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.54K

Down position

Solana Up or Down - November 10, 8PM ET

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.15K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 1, 8PM ET

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.69K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Oct 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.23K

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET

Ends Oct 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.23K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.19K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8PM ET

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.93K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10PM ET

Ends Nov 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.89K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 7AM ET

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.4K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4AM ET

Ends Sep 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.24K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11PM ET

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.1K

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET

Ends Oct 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.95K

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 8PM ET

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.91K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $95k in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.87K

Down position

XRP Up or Down - April 16, 9AM ET

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.66K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET

Ends Sep 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.64K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 2AM ET

Ends Sep 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58K

Down position

Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 12AM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56K

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 3PM ET

Ends Aug 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9PM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will BNB reach $800 in May?

Yes 0.8% 595.45 shares
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 60 by May 31?

No 97.9% 174.47 shares
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 45 by May 31?

No 78.8% 47.05 shares
Will "Apartheid" be in the headlines this week?

No 78% 10 shares
Will Claude Code Commits be between 550.0k and 600.0k on June 30?

Yes 10% 60 shares
Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?

Yes 0.1% 100,000 shares
Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?

No 78% 43.22 shares
Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?

Yes 30% 78.76 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 59% 600.02 shares
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

No 75% 1,500 shares
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

No 75% 500 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 82% 100 shares