Polymarket Trader

newstrat

0x144e019d576f112fa767cc77240b98a7f31e5e08

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $175.53
Realized PnL: $3.11
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $32.64
Potential payout: $33.26
Potential profit: $0.62
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.12

No position

Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $23.92
Potential payout: $23.96
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 96.9%
Current value: $20.42
Potential payout: $21.08
Potential profit: $0.66
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.39

No position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $20.15
Potential payout: $20.72
Potential profit: $0.57
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.26

No position

Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $20.21
Potential payout: $20.24
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $20
Potential payout: $20.11
Potential profit: $0.11
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 97%
Current value: $19.01
Potential payout: $19.61
Potential profit: $0.6
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.17

Arizona Diamondbacks position

San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $19.18
Potential payout: $19.18
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Trump out as President by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.55

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.4%
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Exact Score: Germany 0 - 1 Curaçao?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Exact Score: Germany 0 - 2 Curaçao?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 5?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.9% 19.99 shares
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.7% 20.03 shares
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.9% 20.65 shares
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?

No 99.3% 102.9 shares
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?

No 99.3% 80.28 shares
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?

No 99.3% 56.55 shares
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?

No 99.3% 45.21 shares
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?

No 99.3% 11.91 shares
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?

No 99.3% 11.91 shares
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?

No 99.3% 29.13 shares
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?

No 99.3% 18.12 shares
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?

No 99.3% 74.75 shares