Polymarket Trader

addl12

0x1461da5f64f3aae303d4ce6c613f6a25363fb97e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $37.04
Realized PnL: $76.09
Win rate: 87.5%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $20.57
Potential profit: $20.56
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$5.61

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $0.41
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.6
Multiplier: 24.69x
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $0.35
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.65
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.98
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.48

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.93
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$7.03

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $0.8
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.2
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.86
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $0.35
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.65
Multiplier: 28.57x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $1.4
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.6
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 46%
Current value: $4.6
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $5.4
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $1.4
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.6
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $1.35
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.65
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$0.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $0.9
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.1
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $3.8
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $6.2
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.76
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 59%
Current value: $5.9
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $4.1
Multiplier: 1.69x
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $5.85
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $4.15
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$0.25

No position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $8.25
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $1.75
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $0.39
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.61
Multiplier: 25.64x
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.25
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$1.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 90-91°F on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.97
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.13

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $15.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 11%
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: $7.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
User PnL: $5.63

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $5.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 40%
Multiplier: 2.50x
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 43°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 5.2%
Multiplier: 19.23x
User PnL: $4.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
User PnL: $3.61

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 13%
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: $3.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $3.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 34%
Multiplier: 2.94x
User PnL: $2.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 35%
Multiplier: 2.86x
User PnL: $2.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: $1.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 23.3%
Multiplier: 4.29x
User PnL: $1.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 41%
Multiplier: 2.44x
User PnL: $1.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 35°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 8%
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: $1.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 45%
Multiplier: 2.22x
User PnL: $1.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 92-93°F on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $0.4

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 91.9%
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 94-95°F on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Polymarket update