Polymarket Trader

dfg3333

0x14631869228b14883baf4b1f4487e9517a4830fc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $107.57
Realized PnL: $2.14K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

JD Gaming position

LoL: JD Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 2 Winner

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$225

No position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $120
User PnL: -$104.4

Yes position

Will ZachXBT release his investigation on February 27?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1.9

Over position

Raptors vs. Bulls: O/U 230.5

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$16.5

Yes position

Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-02-21?

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$15

Hernandez position

UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$21

No position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $27.75
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $2.25
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $1.05

FURIA position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$14.4

No position

Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-18?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$13.6

Pelicans position

Bucks vs. Pelicans

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$11.8

No position

Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$10.8

No position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$11.2

Under position

Galatasaray SK vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$13.6

Yes position

GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $11.3
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $8.7
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$3.5

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$18.4

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $19.36
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.64
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $3.16

Yes position

o1 FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $20
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $5

No position

Will Iran strike Jordan in March?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$6.6

Team Nemesis position

Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - European Pro League Series 5 Playoffs

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$0.8

Under position

Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$11.6

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $9.5
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.5
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $9.81
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.19
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.01

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $9.86
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.14
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.86

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Dplus KIA position

LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $192

Weibo Gaming position

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 4 Winner

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $174

JD Gaming position

LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $155.99

Weibo Gaming position

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winner

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150

G2 Esports position

LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 3 Winner

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $142

G2 Esports position

LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffs

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107

Top Esports position

LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103

JD Gaming position

LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101

Yes position

US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.5

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78

G2 Esports position

LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.99

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.99

BNK FEARX position

LoL: BNK FEARX vs Team Secret Whales - Game 3 Winner

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69

G2 Esports position

LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winner

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.56

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winner

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60

Team Heretics position

LoL: SK Gaming vs Team Heretics - Game 2 Winner

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55

Gen.G position

LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54

JD Gaming position

LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49

Weibo Gaming position

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45

Anyones Legend position

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44

Nongshim Esports Academy position

LoL: T1 Academy vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 1 Winner

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43

Aurora Gaming position

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will OpenAI file for an IPO by June 5, 2026?

No 80% 26.81 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

No 98.5% 160 shares
Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch?

No 91.7% 4.97 shares
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on April 13?

Yes 26% 9.63 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

No 96.6% 20 shares
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Yes 89.5% 10 shares
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Yes 99.2% 23 shares
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Yes 98.7% 100 shares
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?

Yes 99.8% 220 shares
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?

Yes 99.8% 200 shares
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?

Yes 81% 20 shares
Iran leadership change by March 13?

No 96% 20 shares